Kamala Harris and the runup to the 2024 Presidential Election {No more on Guns}

Morning Consult has {\color{blue}\mathbf{Harris +3}} in their latest poll.

Not sure what Big Village is, but also ahead 3 to 4 percent.



No fresh Georgia or Nevada Polls I can find.

North Carolina is even in the The Carolina Forward for August 12th. Helping Harris is {\color{blue}\mathbf{Josh Stein}} has pulled way ahead of Mark Robinson for Governor.

Arizona seems to be leaning {\color{blue}\mathbf{Harris,}} most recent poll on the 8th though.

Pennsylvania has the 2 most recent polls with {\color{blue}\mathbf{Harris}} ahead 4% and 2%. The Trafalgar one has Trump up by 2% but was 5 days ago.

All recent polls of Michigan have {\color{blue}\mathbf{Harris}} ahead by up to 6%.

Wisconsin is strongly blue now. {\color{blue}\mathbf{Harris}} is up by 9% instead of 1-3%.



Only recent poll of Florida has Trump up by 5% which is at least lower than it was.

Ohio is still overwhelmingly for Trump. Around 10%. No real change.



I think that covers all the states thought to be in play. Right now things are looking good and North Carolina would be a nice pickup. With Biden running it was pretty solid for Trump. Moving it to even is a great sign.