Atamasama:
If someone wants to have a discussion about it, it should probably be either in one of the polling threads or a new thread (though personally, I don’t think one guy’s model is interesting enough for its own thread).
Lichtman’s system was discussed at length in another P&E thread a few months back. I think it was the “Polling is broken? ” thread, but would have to check.
EDIT: I misremembered – Lichtman’s system did have it’s own thread:
I haven’t posted here more than once since the debate, having been in Tevye mode since it happened. (“On the other hand…on the other hand…on the other hand…”) I’m still mostly on the fence, although I lean more towards wanting Biden to step down and Harris to head the ticket. However, one of the things that gives some pause is historian Allan Lichtman and his “Thirteen Keys To The White House” formula.
Lichtman has crafted a formula that appears to have been right for every election for the las…