LSU vs. USC at a neutral site: What would the point spread be?

Obviously the football game isn’t going to happen. But what do you think that the point spread would be? After watching the recent bowl games, I’d make LSU the favorite by 2.5 points. Prior to the recent bowl games, I would’ve made USC favorites by 8.5.

LSU minus would put you in world of hurt jeopardy wise.

The whole world would load up on USC until the fav went the other way by about your original spread.Knowing that,that’s a 5 point swing,which would lead me to believe a 4 or 5 (USC fav) would be fair.

Knowing how the public bets I’d make USC -6 and go from there.

I’m sure the pros early would like a +6 1/2 +7 LSU,but may drive the number lower if early money wasn’t heavy on USC at -6.

No way could I imagine +money driving the price lower than USC -4

Looks like LSU would be favored by 1 1/2 or 2.

http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/fbt03.htm

Fortunately for the oddsmakers Sagarin’s ratings don’t mean much.According to him he’d have Mia.O (89) favored over Miami 'Canes.(86),And in the real world he still rates the 'Noles as 6 “pure” points better than the Canes.

No way in this lifetime.Or at least in the last 5 games :slight_smile:

Pointspreads have little in common with one person’s “power ratings”.They(the betting line) reflect the public’s betting mentality.

I think USC would be a 3 or 3.5 pt favorite. And I’d be putting my money on LSU on the money line.

USC would win by 21, easy and very possible shut LSU out. As for venue, how bout the Sam Boyd Silver Bowl? Everybody wants to go to Vegas, plenty of hotels, decent weather. I say we do it! How bout the Saturday before the Superbowl? :wink:


USC Trojans: Hail the National Champions!

Win by 21? Only one team even scored 21 on the LSU defense, and that was as they were getting blown out by 31 points. USC has a good offense for sure, but so did Oklahoma. The LSU defense is unlike any the Trojans saw in the Pac Ten.

I was going to say the exact same thing as you but I think 'SC would be even more of a favorite, probably a 6.5. Even at that I take LSU on the money line and clean up.

Haj

gatopescado has been watching different teams all season than the rest of the world, it would appear.

I’d guess USC would be favored 2 to 3 points, and I’d be glad to put my money on LSU with those odds.

I do believe LSU’s offense is a good bit better than California’s, which scored 34 when they beat the Trojans.

I would make LSU a 1-2 pt favorite. SEC went 5-2 in bowl games and along with the ACC (5-1) are the premier conferences in college football.

HIJACK: LSU beat a BIG 12 team, but then just about everyone that played a bowl game against the BIG 12 won, except for Navy (Texas Tech) and Michigan St (Nebraska), OK, OSU, UT, MU, KU & KSU each lost their bowl games.

BIG 12 is obviously overrated because they do not play a non-confernence schedule. They pad their records against team like Troy State and then get 8 teams in bowl games.

END HIJACK

Actually, I’m rethinking my opinion on this. I knew that the Big 12 was weak. I won a chunk straight up on Wash St (vs. Texas) and a bigger chunk on the Ohio State money line (vs. K State). So LSU’s domination of Oklahoma isn’t as impressive as USC’s shellacking of Michigan. But everyone knows that USC still hasn’t faced a defense like LSU. I revise my line to a Pick 'Em.

Let’s play some football!

I bet it would be a point either side of Pick 'Em.

Take it for what it’s worth. . .I got SLAYED on the bowl games this year (2-8 against the number over the final 10 games). The rankest defeat was Purdue (I was getting 4, not just 3). I still contend that OT games should pay out total and side bets based on the end of regulation.

The only bright spot of all the bowl games was hitting WSU on the ML and two solid pro-weekends mixed in.

[man, I love gambling talk. My old favorite BB, madjacksports, got banned at work because it was gambling related.]