I think this is a subtly different question than addressed in the several other Iraq debates. I have been thinking that we might as well attack Iraq, topple Hussein, and install a puppet government. What costs exceed the benefits?
As benefits, we would eliminate an overtly hostile actor, and in the process dissuade others from adopting a similar tone. Meanwhile, we would guarantee ourselves a steady flow of cheap oil. The fact of the matter is, we are the sole superpower. Why have the power if you aren’t going to use it, or derive specific benefit from it. In the meantime, what do we gain from all the current dithering?
What benefit do we derive from NOT invading Iraq? What other countries will act more favorably towards us if we don’t act? What terrorists will cease to target us? Something appeals to me about being up front about the benefits of being our friend, and the potential costs of being our enemy.
I hear people talk about the ill-will such action would generate in the international community, but it doesn’t seem to me as tho we enjoy universal respect as it is.
And Iraq is easy pickings. Just the type of terrain where our military can wheel and deal. The live ammo war game to end all. And when it’s over, we’ll have that oil!
The one potential cost I see is Russia and China perhaps following our lead and pursuing empires of their own. But maybe we could get away with - say - one invasion a decade or so. If it looks like we will have to pay the piper down the line, we can always say, “Oops! Our bad.” And then get off with a withdrawal and payment of some reparations.
Disclaimer, I strongly opposed the Gulf War, and generally favor defining our national interests extremely narrowly. I disfavor interference in other countries’ internal affairs, bordering on isolationism. I personally would advocate huge increases in the costs of energy, and believe too much of American culture is wasteful and aimed at the acquisition of consumer goods.
But deep inside me is a feeling that we should shit or get off the pot. I hope some of you out there might magnanimously help convince me of the irrationality of this feeling.