No problem. I’m offline until Sunday at the earliest, so take your time. I’ll try to boil it down:
Normal betting is to pick 3 numbers out of 8 to finish in the top 2. Examples of common bets are 3-5-7 (wins if first and second are 5-3, 3-7, 7-5, etc…) and 2-4-6.
Due to the structure of the scoring system, you will very rarely see 1-2 win first and second, for example. This I discovered through mathematical analysis (tilting the bottle) that not everyone would be capable or motivated to discover for themselves.
Similarly, I identified various combinations that would be likely to come in first and second. I had a dozen or so guides (I used to go every Tuesday) laying around that had printed results from the night before, and I noticed that “good numbers” did indeed seem to hit an awful lot.
So I downloaded all the results for a year from their official website, and then did brute force data analysis, flagging every single possible bet that had a net win for the year. (Tilting the bottle big time.) I had predicted many of them, but a couple were a surprise. (1-2, as it turns out, always paid much higher than other combinations, so it was technically a winner, though it didn’t hit very often.)
So I went and bet these numbers, and did well. My wins diluted the payouts of the other gamblers who made the same bets “straight up”, without “tilting the bottle”. (Instead of the typical $1,000 payouts, they were paying around $300. I don’t know how much of that was my action or my bad luck.) Also, several ticket agents commented that I was betting good numbers, further reinforcing that I was, indeed, “in the know”.
Why is it unethical to maximize your odds in a game of chance, even at the expense of others playing? It’s certainly not my job to maximize their odds of winning at my expense, is it?
In effect, it would be akin to looking up every winner your lottery has paid out since its inception, and finding a half dozen combinations that hit at least once a year. If you found that out, would it be unethical to play those numbers? You would be diluting the jackpot of the “legitimate” players.
As a separate question, let’s assume Pepsi intentionally avoided opaque covers in order to entice people who otherwise (for a 1 in 3 chance) would never dream of drinking their swill, but for a guaranteed song, they’d choke it down. The idea being that after enough of them, you’d get hooked. Would it still be unethical?