Surprised there was no thead on it.
Unsurprisingly it was a Romney win but so far his margin of victory seems to worse than in 2008 but than again the votes from Clark County aren’t fully in yet. I wish Ron Paul had gotten second place rather than the Pillsbury Doughspeaker, at least he beat Santorum though.
Going by this, it’s all caucuses for a while, except for a “beauty contest” primary in Missouri 02/07/12 to be followed by a caucus. The next actual primaries will be 02/28/12, Arizona and Michigan.
Is there any pattern known for caucuses producing different results from primaries?
Caucuses usually give an advantage to candidates with the best organization and candidates with the most enthusiastic voters. To me, that gives the edge to Romney and Paul, respectively.
I thought Gingrich had the most enthusiastic voters.
Uh, compared to Paul? Are you kidding? Paul has long enjoyed a small base of fanatic support, and that hasn’t changed in this cycle. Gingrich’s supporters are more enthusiastic than Romney’s, but not Paul’s.
Gingrich’s supporters have on average shifted their support six-seven times.
Does anyone have the final numbers from Nevada? I couldn’t find any when I looked before.
Romney 50%
Gingrich 21%
Paul 19%
Santorum 10%
thanks
I didn’t participate. And I won’t till the primary format returns.
Well, they’re old - they have to avoid bedsores.
Caucuses tend to be mainly party stalwarts, so they are usually farther from center (Democrats left, Republicans right) than the voters in general. So a more liberal or a more conservative candidate can do better. A Primary displays this trend too, but moderated by the voters who vote according to the last TV commercial they saw. The general election voters are even more centrist.