Far more often than not it is not a stranger but someone she knows. Does this affect your take on a woman’s ability to identify her attacker?
Of course. I wasn’t referring to anything other than stranger rapes. Although, there are circumstances where the woman is either unconscious or drugged/inebriated and therefore may not be able to ID a particular (known) individual with certainty. Also: gang rape.
You have 25% of the DNA testing showing the suspect was not the culprit. You HAVE to gave a culprit to compare against and say it is or isn’t him. How do you get that person? Maybe there is evidence sufficient to focus on a giy without the woman’s testimony but my sense is most of the time it takes the woman to finger someone who they then compare a DNA test against.
Okay. They apprehend suspects based on a general ID description. But let’s say the witness (rape victim) says “I think so, but I can’t be sure.” So they order the DNA to see if they can connect the suspect with the crime. With this evidence, they might have a basis for a case even w/o the witness ID. Her evidence is the rape kit DNA, not her testimony. If it’s ruled out, they move on - no false charges.
So what I’m saying is: DNA testing can be ordered to rule out suspects - it doesn’t imply that the woman “fingered” anyone - in fact, just the opposite. I don’t count that as a “false charge”. Meanwhile, the “numbers” on the DNA cases that are negative get skewed in the process of “ruling out” (possibly) numerous suspects. In a way, we can point to that as justice at work - not allowing uncertain testimony to decide whether a case has merit. Does that make sense?
What are women doing hanging a rape accusation on someone when they don’t know the guy they claim to have done it is indeed the guy (forget malicious accusations for the moment)? She has been through a brutal experience and her need for closure, for justice, is understandable but the notion of pegging a rape charge on someone when she is unsure is criminal too. She doesn’t get justice…indeed the real criminal may go free. She has merely created two offenses where there was just one.
I doubt a guy rotting in jail for rape for the next 15 years due to an honest mistake is any happier than a guy rotting in jail because a woman maliciously stuck a rape charge on him.
Again, it’s NOT malicious. Not if you accept the logic I’m asserting above. Being “unsure” is not a crime, and it’s to her credit to admit that. Anyway, we’re talking stranger rape here - providing an uncertain ID is sometimes the only recourse - as long as there’s DNA to back it up, I don’t see a problem with it. Before DNA, or in absence of DNA, there would be a problem. Different story there, and you then might consider malicious intent as a possible factor. But I expect more go free because of uncertain ID, even if guilty, than vice-versa. Do you doubt that?
Why would you suppose that cases where DNA is not an issue (questions of consent) would be lower than what the DNA numbers show? I know we don’t have definitive answers to these questions but if the studies were done what would you expect them to show and why?
I’m not supposing they would be lower - I’m saying they don’t apply to the “mistaken identity” factor (except drug or gang rape). I’m not supposing anything except that the results of these studies are too variable to suppose any percentage validity with certainty. But really, why argue the numbers? I don’t care if it’s 2%, 10%, 25%, or 50% - proposing and implementing preventative solutions is still the only recourse.
We can isolate the various factors involved and approach them differently (with priority for the charges that are most likely to involve victims, like malicious intent and date rape consent confusion).
The “attention seeking” false charges w/o victims most often result in a psych/counselling referral - this should be mandatory. Apart from that, there’s not much else you can do outside of increasing mental health overall in society. You want to put them in jail?
The “alibi” cases are similar: If there’s a perceived domestic problem, social services will investigate the case. Maybe it’s a cry for help, and again, as long as there are no corrollary victims named, maybe it’s a good thing that the police were made aware of it. Being that frightened to go home w/o an alibi sounds like a potential future crime in the making. Anyway: mandatory counselling, as above.
That leaves revenge and the date rape consent problem. If I do want to know numbers, these are the numbers I’m interested in. And these are the only numbers that should concern men who might be worried about being falsely accused.
It’s the actual rape victims who suffer as a result of the blanket percentages.