It’s late, I’ve been out for a couple cocktails, we’re gonna make this quick.
Sunday, Oct. 2
NEW ENGLAND 5 San Diego 47½
The question is simple. Is New England going to suffer from the loss of Harrison and Light? I think yes. Tomlinson is a god and I think he exerts himself in this game. The two teams passing game are a push and LT will devour the NE rush D.
The pick: Chargers, Under
**JACKSONVILLE 3½ Denver 37 **
Was the showing on Monday night a mirage? Is Leftwich close to 100%? Can Plummer function on the road? These are some difficult questions to answer, but without much analysis I’m going to trust in the Jags. They’ve been in every game so far, and they’ve played good teams. If they can hold Peyton to less than 200 yards what are they going to do to Plummer?
The pick: Jags, Under
**CINCINNATI 9½ Houston 42½ **
Well, the Bengals are all that and a bag of chips. They managed to dominate the Bears D on the road and this week they are playing the Texans at home. Um, this shouldn’t be an issue.
The pick: Bengals, Over
Indianapolis 7 TENNESSEE 45
Is this going to be the game in which Indy finally folds? They’ve struggled on offense and are playing an overachieving Titans squad. Nonetheless, Peyton just can’t be held down for 4 weeks in a row, can he? Is the McNair-Bennett connection going to get on track? Frankly, I’m guessing that Indy’s D keeps up the pace. The Titans are game, but without a stud D they will get lit up. Don’t put money on it, last week I said I’m gone wagering on Indy and I’m sticking to it.
The pick: Colts, Under
**Kansas City 2 PHILADELPHIA 45 **
I’m pretty shocked to see that Philly is a dog at home. Even with a dinged McNabb… the Chiefs got housed on MNF. KC is coming off a short week and they didn’t exactly run wild last week as expected. Philly’s D is better than Denver’s, so we’ll assume they can contain this offense. McNabb is slated to play, and I’m going to trust him.
The pick: Eagles, Over
TAMPA BAY 6½ Detroit 34
Wow, this is just silly. I won’t even justify this
The pick: Bucs, Over
N.Y. GIANTS 3 St. Louis 46½
I think the Giants are bullshit. I think that St Louis is flimsy too. However, with a injured Peterson I’m going to trust Bulger and Co to get the job done. Coughlin outmatches Martz every day of the week, but I’m just feeling the Rams to squeak one out here. I reserve the right to change my mind here however.
The pick: Rams, Under
NEW ORLEANS PK Buffalo 39½
Ooo, a pick ‘em. I’ve decided that I’m not picking the Saints any more. The displacement has just been too much for them to cope with. Buffalo has a good D and that D will create enough of those mistakes which have been the hallmark of Saints losses this year. I do think that Horn and Co will play hard, but I think McGahee will be the difference.
The pick: Bills, Over
WASHINGTON 2 Seattle 36½
I’ve said it once, and I’ll say it again. I have no fucking idea what the Seahawks will do. I don’t know if Shaun can run on these guys or not. I’m going to take a flier and guess that the Seahawks manage to outscore the inept Washington O.
The pick: Seahawks, Under
BALTIMORE 7 N.Y. Jets 31
I’ve said it once, and I’ll say it again – albeit with way more confidence now – THE JETS SUCK. No QB going into Baltimore? Seriously, it’s only 7 points? Yummy.
The pick: Ravens, Under
**ATLANTA 5½ Minnesota 44½ **
I’m going to assume that the Falcons D is for real (not a stretch) and that the Vikings outpouring last week was a product of a weak Saints D and home field. Everything in this game points to another bloodbath for Culpepper. Kearney is going to eat Daunte alive and the Falcons will run, run, run.
The pick: Falcons, Over
OAKLAND 3 Dallas 47
Why in the hell are the winless Raiders favored here? I know Dallas has been along ways from dominant, but it’s not like the Raiders are just waiting to explode. The key to me is the lack of a reliable Oakland running game versus as powerful attack by Mr. Jones. I’m certainly not confident in the situation, but I just haven’t been made overly confident in Collin’s ability to find Moss. The Dallas O has their own problems, but I’m guessing that Oakland won’t be able to pressure Bledsoe and that’s the key to beating him.
The pick: Cowboys, Under
ARIZONA 3 San Francisco 43
The Cards are seriously fucking favored? After the slop they’ve left on the field all season? It’s not like San Fran can score a ton, but at least Lloyd has managed to find the end zone on occasion. Lots of people seem to expect the Cards to find their stride at home against a flimsy team, but I’m not sure I by it. I was on the bandwagon, I sprained my ankle jumping off. To make things worse the Cards lost a starting D lineman and the QB is iffy at best.
The pick: Niners, Under
Monday, Oct. 3
CAROLINA 7½ Green Bay 43
At what point does the Brett Favre Experience get old? When you’re in the part of the ride where the wheels come off, I say never. Though, it’s not totally his fault. This defense is one of the most pathetic I’ve ever seen. By the end of the season people will have forgotten about the Chiefs of 2003. Don’t be fooled by that Tampa game, it was way worse than the score showed. Still, 7+ points is a lot. I’ll be bold.
The pick: Panthers, Under