Oak's College Pick'em '11

As promised, I’ve started a College Pick’em league. Invitations should have gone out to everyone that played last year, and everyone else is welcome to participate. There is no limit of the number of players. There should be fewer games to pick each week this year, as I set it to “Top 25” and “SEC”, but not the Yahoo choices.

We’re using confidence point scoring, and your lowest week will be dropped for ranking purposes.

The league is at Yahoo, Group ID# 1362
Password is cecil

Note: I will not edit your picks, ever, for any reason. You may as well not select the option that would allow it, cuz it ain’t gonna happen. You can select an option to send you email reminders before the first game each week if you like. The deadline to get your picks in is 5 minutes before each game.

Good work, Oak! Beasley’s in.

Got the invite, glad you are reducing the # games, although I would like to see it fixed to a specific number of games per week. If a player happens to miss a week that has more games played than any other week then he will be at a disadvantage.

IIRC, I think a couple of entrants (me included) forgot to hit the submit button after making the picks last year.

I don’t think there’s an option for a set number of games. I only remember choices for Yahoo choices, Top 25, and one conference. The dropped lowest week will partially mitigate a player forgetting to hit submit one time.

Judging by the “ranking numbers” at The Best of Recruiting and High School Sports they will depend on the AP Poll’s choices. If I remember correctly in past years those numbers get adjusted soon after the new AP numbers come out, but may not be shown in the week’s schedule right away.

Do you know how soon the “Top 25” will be visible to the “Pick’em” crowd?

Thanks for the invite - I’m back again as Pride of the Southland

If the assumption is good that the AP Top 25 will be in line with the other polls in this list, the games we will have to work with ought to come from these:



 
Week 1 Scoreboard   [Coaches] (Yahoo!) <Rivals>
 
 Thursday September 1, 2011 
 
  UNLV                          8:00 pm EDT   
  [10] (7) <7>  Wisconsin   
 
  [20] (15) Mississippi St.     8:00 pm EDT   SEC   
  Memphis   

  Kentucky                      9:15 pm EDT   SEC      
  West. Kentucky 
 
  UC Davis                     10:00 pm EDT   
  <20> Arizona St.  
 
 Friday September 2, 2011  
 
  Youngstown St.                7:30 pm EDT   
  [17] (14) <18> Michigan St.  
 
  [15] (2) <15> TCU             8:00 pm EDT   
  Baylor  
 
 Saturday September 3, 2011 
 
  Utah St.                     12:00 pm EDT   
  [19] (1) Auburn                             SEC  
 
  Indiana St.                  12:00 pm EDT   
  [25] <23> Penn St.  
 
  Miami (OH)                   12:00 pm EDT   
  [21] (18) Missouri   
 
  Akron                        12:00 pm EDT   
  [16] (5) <16> Ohio St.  
 
  Kent St.                     12:20 pm EDT   
  [2] (10) <2>   Alabama                      SEC    
 
  Appalachian St.              12:30 pm EDT   
  [13] (16) <12> Virginia Tech 

  Minnesota                     3:30 pm EDT   
  <19> USC   
 
  LA Monroe                     3:30 pm EDT   
  [5] (17) <8> Florida St.  
 
  Chattanooga                   3:30 pm EDT   
  [11] (20) <9>  Nebraska  
 
  South Florida                 3:30 pm EDT   
  [18] <13> Notre Dame  
 
  <25> BYU                      4:45 pm EDT   
  Mississippi                                 SEC  
 
  San Jose St.                  5:00 pm EDT   
  [6] (4) <6>  Stanford 
 
  Montana                       6:00 pm EDT   
  Tennessee                                   SEC   
 
  Liberty                       6:00 pm EDT   
  (25) N.C. State 
 
  LA Lafayette                  7:00 pm EDT   
  [8] (13) <11> Oklahoma St. 
 
  [12] (22) <17> South Carolina 7:00 pm EDT   SEC      
  East Carolina  
 
  Rice                          7:00 pm EDT   
  [24] <22> Texas 
 
  Missouri St.                  7:00 pm EDT   
  [14] (12) <14> Arkansas                     SEC   
 
  Charleston Sou.               7:00 pm EDT   
  (21) UCF  
 
  Florida Atlantic              7:00 pm EDT   
  [23] <21> Florida                           SEC    
 
  Elon                          7:30 pm EDT   
  Vanderbilt                                  SEC 
 
  (24) Tulsa                    8:00 pm EDT   
  [1] (6) <1>   Oklahoma   
 
  [4] (8) <4>   LSU             8:00 pm EDT   SEC      
  [3] (3) <3>   Oregon  
 
  [7] (9) <5>   Boise St.       8:00 pm EDT   
  [22] Georgia                                SEC 
 
 Sunday September 4, 2011 
 
  Marshall                      3:30 pm EDT   
  <24> West Virginia   
 
  SMU                           7:30 pm EDT   
  [9] (19) <10> Texas A&M  
 
 Monday September 5, 2011 
 
  Miami (FL)                    8:00 pm EDT  
  (23) Maryland  


The AP numbers are due out on the 20th.

We only have 6 people signed up so far. Picks are supposed to be available on Monday, 8/29/11.

This game has no limit on the number of players, all are welcome to join.

I musta missed it the first time around. You got a link?

Nevermind, I’m in.

Just entered and made my picks, remember to save your picks and to do the tiebreakers.

Picks are available now. Please remember to save your picks before leaving the screen.

I’m a little disappointed we only have 8 players so far this year , but anyone can join.

24 games to pick this week.

And the moment you’ve all been waiting for–the first official **Oak’s Upset of the Week **is…(drum roll, please)

(19) Georgia at home over (5) Boise State.

Ah, but how many confidence points did you give that upset?

Not very many. Less than I put on BYU over Ole Miss in Oxford. I expect the Rebels to stink up the place. One of the guys competing for the starting QB job got himself arrested last week. That doesn’t bode well for the season. Fortunately, I’m a Mississippi State fan, so kudos to the fine law enforcement officers in Oxford for doing their duty.

RamblinWreckage also picked UGA over Boise. This post might come back to haunt me, but I think if UGA can beat BSU and USC, they will run the table to the SEC Championship (aka the De Facto National Championship game).

Hey, guys, let me show you a little tinkering I have done just to give my “confidence points” more “science” than just grabbing numbers.

Using http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/fbt11.htm to get Sagarin’s preseason rankings for both teams, and getting the difference in those ranking numbers, and then sorting by the resulting differences I get:



 @(18)Ohio St.       vs  Akron            Sat 09/03 11:00am -   3   157    154
 @(15)Arkansas       vs  Missouri St.     Sat 09/03 06:00pm -  13   156    143
 @(10)Nebraska       vs  Chattanooga      Sat 09/03 02:30pm -  18   148    130
 @(22)Florida        vs  Florida Atlantic Sat 09/03 06:00pm -   6   133    127
 @(7)Stanford        vs  San Jose St.     Sat 09/03 04:00pm -  12   136    124 

 @(2)Alabama         vs  Kent St.         Sat 09/03 11:20am -   1   124    123 
 @(9)Oklahoma St.    vs  LA Lafayette     Sat 09/03 06:00pm -  16   139    123
 @(6)Florida St.     vs  LA Monroe        Sat 09/03 02:30pm -  15   131    116
 @(17)Michigan St.   vs  Youngstown St.   Fri 09/02 06:30pm -  36   151    115
 @(23)Auburn         vs  Utah St.         Sat 09/03 11:00am -  11   118    107 

 @(21)Missouri       vs  Miami (OH)       Sat 09/03 11:00am -  21   117     96
 @(24)West Virginia  vs  Marshall         Sun 09/04 02:30pm -  22   101     79
 @(25)USC            vs  Minnesota        Sat 09/03 02:30pm -  10    81     71 
 @(13)Virginia Tech  vs  Appalachian St.  Sat 09/03 11:30am -   9    74     65 
  (14)TCU            vs  @Baylor          Fri 09/02 07:00pm -   4    69     65

 @(8)Texas A&M       vs  SMU              Sun 09/04 06:30pm -  37    95     58
 @(1)Oklahoma        vs  Tulsa            Sat 09/03 07:00pm -   5    57     52
 @Tennessee          vs  Montana          Sat 09/03 05:00pm -  42    91     49
 @(12)South Carolina vs  East Carolina    Sat 09/03 06:00pm -  26    71     45 
 @Vanderbilt         vs  Elon             Sat 09/03 06:30pm -  90   112     22

  (5)Boise St.       vs  @(19)Georgia     Sat 09/03 07:00pm -   7    25     18
  BYU                vs  @Mississippi     Sat 09/03 03:45pm -  35    50     15
 @(16)Notre Dame     vs  South Florida    Sat 09/03 02:30pm -  33    45     12
  (3)Oregon          vs  @(4)LSU          Sat 09/03 07:00pm -   2     8      6


I’m assigning “confidence points” from 24 at the top to 1 at the bottom.

Since money’s not involved I thought I’d share the method with y’all just to see what you think. Shoot it down, or use it (or a variation of it) for yourself.

Notice that I have not blindly followed Sagarin’s rankings to pick WINNERS; I have some upsets in my picks. But I ranked the games themselves (confidence wise) with this approach.

I mock your scientific approach. Mock Mock. Total gut feelings from RamblinWreckage. I don’t even look at the point spread.

More mocking here. My confidence point rankings are pulled straight outta my ass, based on what I think/hope might/could/should happen maybe/kinda/sorta.

Okay. I will give you credit for lack of perspiration in the process. I have next to zero faith in the “method” I used, but after all the bullshit I spread in that thread about “must-see OOC games” I figured I ought to use some of that approach here as well. Besides, it’s hard to work up much anticipation for tonight’s games. I may watch enough of either or both to see the ranked team get maybe 30 points ahead. Then switch over to some comedy show or whatever.

As soon as I lose this week I will revert to a similar approach, but I think this gives a bit of an indicator of how cupcake the first week really is. Notice how only four games feature rivals within 20 ranking points of each other! And one of them is on our list because it’s an SEC game.

I find it really amusing how “tight” the Vandy game is! :smiley: