Sarah “Vice Presidents Are In Charge of The Senate” Palin has no idea how to answer interview questions without a week long cram session from the McCain campaign, and Katie “Where Are All The Cute Puppy Stories” Curic has no idea how to conduct an interview without running it past Charlie “I’m Really The Network’s Heavy Hitter?” Gibson.
Are there any Bush-supporters (or generally Republican-supporters or Obama-critics, or whatever… you know who you are) willing to list three or four economic indicators which, if met by January 2012, might lead them to grudgingly admit that Obama’s administration improved things or at least didn’t cause them to get worse?
For example:
Unemployment: at or below X.
Inflation: at or below Y.
GDP growth rate: at or above Z.
i.e. something Obama could bring to the 2012 debates to address claims that his election foretold doom?
I don’t know if there are many Bush supporters around these parts, Bryan. I’m neither a Bush supporter, a Republican nor even an Obama-critic (I think he’s actually doing a pretty good job, considering how things were when he took over and what he’s had to work with), but:
I would say if unemployment is at or below 7% that would certainly be seen as a very positive sign by 2012. In fact, my guess is that if this is the case there won’t be anything to stop Obama from getting re-elected, sort of some huge scandal.
I’m not economist, but afaik, inflation hasn’t really been a factor, so, unless it starts to rocket up I’d say that this one is moot.
Right now this is pretty low, so I’d say that a GDP growth rate of something like 2-3% (stable) would be a very positive sign by 2012. Anything higher than that and Obama will be hailed as a miracle worker and people might start talking about making him God Emperor or at least seeing if we could get him a 3rd term. If he has the unemployment rate below 7%, inflation is level with where it is today and our GDP growth rate is higher than 4% I’d sign the petition for a 3rd term myself!
Probably not. That’s just one of the reasons the average person isn’t qualified to be President of the United States.
As for reporting bias, how exactly was that a factor? Did somebody fail to explain to Palin how an interview worked? That she would be asked questions and would expected to answer them? The problem wasn’t that Couric was asking her legitimate questions. The problem was Palin had no idea what she thought.
Obama promised to cut the deficit in half by the end of his first term. I will figure “close enough” for any annual budget deficit below $535 billion.
Unemployment? Let’s be fair - Obama inherited an very high unemployment rate, as part of the worst recession since the Great Depression. That’s what Reagan had, too. Unemployment dropped from 9.7% to 7.5% at the end of his first term. So, comparing apples to apples, if the unemployment rate is at or below 7.5%, Obama will be considered a success by that measure.
I look forward to linking back to this post (assuming I remember to and the SDMB still exists and I’ll still a member of it) sometime around October 2012.
By all means. With the caveat that honesty both on your part as well as mine requires that you link to it no matter what the economic measures are.
I considered publicly committing to voting for Obama if he actually cuts the deficit in half and reduces unemployment to under 7.5 and if inflation remains low, but I have no idea who will run against him in 2012. But maybe the GOP will get control of the Senate at least and will reduce the deficit no matter what Obama does, as they did with Clinton, and then I will not consider his promise to have been kept.
But we shall see. Maybe Obama will cancel the elections and rule as a dictator, as Bush did.
Or prehaps -
*A mercenary is brought before the King for sentencing as a bandit. He is sentenced to die. But he says, “Wait a minute, oh king. I have a special power. I can teach animals to speak in human language. Give me a year. Commute my sentence for that long, and I will teach your horse to speak.”
So the king does it. And the hangman, as he leads the mercenary over to the stable, says, “Are you nuts? Nobody can do what you claim you can.” And the mercenary shrugs. He says. "A year is a long. time. Maybe the horse will die. Maybe I will die.