This is ridiculous. *Someone * has to know how many delegates each candidate has, right? Isn’t it written down someplace?
The short answer is that no, it’s not.
The “Superdelegates” are assigned to the two candidates based on a variety of methodologies, polls and assumptions. Who they will actually support is simply not known for sure, and so depending on what you assume you can come up with any score you want.
As I said in another thread, the fact is that it is tied. The count is close enough that the results of upcoming primaries will likely decide the outcome. If it remains tied, then it will be up to the superdelegates, who will probably vote for Clinton, unless she makes a few more major gaffes.
I think that’s a faulty assumption. The superdelegates will go with whoever they think the strongest candidate will be in November. Current polls suggest that would be Obama.
Have patience-- Obama should take the lead in delegate count after tomorrow no matter how you slice or dice it. I heard one talking head today refer to Hillary as the Giuliani of the Democrats. Her idea that she can lose a bunch of states and then make it up later has a serious flaw. Momentum creates votes, and Obama has the big mo right now.
Run, Barack, run!!
Correction out of Washington State:
Barack Obama swept every Washington county.
“How wonderful it is that nobody need wait a single moment before starting to improve the world.” – Anne Frank
“Your voice can change the world.” – Barack Obama
In memory of Congressman Tom Lantos (February 1, 1928 – February 11, 2008), the only Holocaust survivor to serve in the United States Congress.
It’s not her idea so much as “the thing she’s forced to believe.” She’s got no chance whatsoever at these smaller February states - somebody quoted Survey USA as saying Obama is up by more than 20 points in Virginia and they’re pretty much conceeding everything up until Texhio anyway. I agree that this strategy is very unlikely to work, but she’s not going to turn around some of these big deficits with a few campaign stops. It was the same with Giuliani: he bet everything on the big states only after the small early states gave him the cold shoulder.
True.
No, he bet everything on the big states from the beginning-- he didn’t do any real campaigning in Iowa, NH. He bet everything on FL, and he lost.
That’s not true at all. He spent more money in New Hampshire than anyone except Romney, and put in a lot of time there. And he was in Iowa early, too. He left both states after his poll numbers kept going down, and successfully convinced most of the press that he’d never planned to compete in those states.
Prepare for the Willie Hortonization of Obama. I’m already seeing righty coverage of the Cuban flag/Che Guevara image that Fox News Houston caught on tape at an Obama campaign office.
Pit thread here.
The Willie Hortonization of Obama started a year ago, when people started saying he was a Muslim. It continued with more e-mails that said he was a Muslim, then the e-mails that said he belongs to a black racist church and likes Louis Farrakhan. And you think this is it for him? A Latina staffer hangs up a Che flag in her own office? Come on.
People overreact to almost every hint of a story. This is likely nothing, especially in a state where the voting starts in less than 12 hours.