OK, Bush is about to give the Go Code to start the war against Iraq when …
North Korea and Iraq announce a mutual defense pact.
In the pact, each country pledges to assist the other if attacked by the USA. Will North Korea really storm across the DMZ when they hear cruise missles are lighting up Baghdad?
So what does Bush do? He’s got five, maybe six of the active carrier battle groups (of the total twelve we have) on station in/near the Middle East, along with 300,000 troops. Can the sole carrier battle group in the Sea of Japan really support the 37,000 US troops in South Korea. How many soldiers will we lose until the Guam-based bombers arrive? What then if North Korea, angry that at least one bomber takes out its restarted nuclear plant, retaliates with a solo nuclear-tipped missile at Japan? (World stock markets immediately collapse upon hearing the news.) Can Bush bite through his lower lip or does he order the subs patrolling off the coast to launch tactical cruise missile nukes against North Korea?
And so on and so forth.
Checking my memory, it appears every time the USA put the squeeze on Saddam, he did a feint (expected) and then something else (unexpected), causing the White House to take a step back and rethink. The escalating crisis in Korea so far has been going the same way – look at last week’s close encounter with the four MiGs.
So really, what happens if there is an Iraqi-North Korean mutual defense pact? Diplomacy, tact, and reasoning tell me one thing. What would Bush do? He hasn’t been any of those IMHO with Iraq or North Korea.
Yeah, yeah, no cites supporting my position, but I figured the clock is ready to strike the hour of war, and any one posting here probably knows enough already to understand the situation at hand.
I really do want to be so very wrong with this scenario.