Cruz 28
Trump 24
Rubio 23
Carson 9
I was close on the top 2, but way off on #3.
I think Rubio surprised a lot of people - maybe even himself - last night.
Got the order right and did OK on 2-4 but strongly overestimated Cruz. Overall not a bad prediction, I think. Though Cruz pulled it out in the end I am still a bit surprised how he struggled in January.
Got the order of the first 4 correct, overestimated Cruz and underestimated Rubio. I expected Cruz was going to win because Iowa has a thing for conservative fundamentalists or the ones who pander the hardest to religious people.