Since we’re making predictions…
Edwards/Clinton AND Huckabee/Romney both lose to Nunn/Bloomberg on the Unity 08 ticket.
WASP supremacists bemoan that the country is now ruled by a nun & a Jew, & sink much of their fortunes into right-wing propaganda media.
I disagree. I think that Pat Robertson has lost his mind or has some other ulterior motive in endorsing Rudy. I don’t that when the cards are down, GOP primary voters will vote for Rudy. The base of the party will never nominate someone who is pro-choice and pro gay marriage. I don’t wish to debate these issues, but that is the GOP base. The ones who give the $25 and $50 donations that add up. The ones that tell their neighbors who they should vote for.
As far as the war on terror, I don’t know any Republican who is privately happy about the situation in Iraq. Many will say that they support Bush and the war just to not give the left a leg up in this race, but we all know that Iraq has been a dismal failure. IMHO, Bush went in with the best of intentions: We all thought Saddam had WMDs and posed a threat, but we were wrong.
No conspiracy, no supporting Haliburton, just plain wrong. But the problem is that in order to save political face, Bush won’t admit a mistake and keeps making more mistakes to make up for the previous one, which leads to another mistake for the mistake, etc.
So, I don’t think Rudy will get the nomination, but if he does, then I will almost guarantee a third-party candidate from the right that gets about 5% of the vote, guaranteeing a win for the DEMS…
Hillary sweeps, but the SC overrules the election and appoints Milt or Huck as Prez.
That’s my take.
How can South Carolina overruule an election? :rolleyes:
Seriously, though. The 2000 election is over. Can we move on?
How can South Carolina overrule an election? :rolleyes:
Seriously, though. The 2000 election is over. Can we move on?
OK, Hilary wins but Diebold steals the election for Guiliani. There, I’ve moved on to 2004 instead.
I now have officially changed my prediction. I have left the Edwards camp and and now in Obama’s corner. At long last, Obama has found his voice as evidenced in last week’s speech in Iowa. You can see the bounce in his step now and he has the look of a winner. Hillary’s invincibility is now over, her bungling of the driver license question in the last debate, the inept reaction to the reaction of the bungling, the planting of the questioner have gotten her on her heels. I now believe that Obama will win Iowa and New Hampshire, forcing Edwards, Richardson, Dodd, and Biden out. Instead of the anti-Hillary vote being split five ways, Obama will get it all.
Well, here’s hoping.
Edwards/Richardson is a good ticket. Hillary has the support of democrats on the hill, and she has Bill Clinton. I do think she will win the nomination and the election despite how much she is hated in Washington. I don’t believe a republican can win this election. The democrats could run Donald Duck and win.
Yeah, well, that’s what a lot of Democrats were saying in 2004, and we see how that turned out.
My concern is that the Republicans are going to wind up nominating that nice, likeable Mike Huckabee. And that he’ll be running against Hillary Clinton.
And well, a lot of swing voters just don’t look any more deeply at a candidate than “nice and likeable.”
If it winds up as Huckabee vs. Clinton, I predict a very close election. A replay of 2000. Huckabee keeps the values voters at home in the Republican Party, and wins a lot of swing voters with his pleasant demeanor.
He’s found his voice a few times this year, then lost it again each time. Your (new) guy has chronic laryngitis.
The Edwards camp looks forward to welcoming you back. 
Believe me, I’d love to stick with Edwards. But I’m convinced that the continued presence of multiple anti-Hillarys makes Hillary’s nomination more likely. I think the Edwards campaign has lost its traction and it’s time to back the best anti-Hillary out there.
Hell, Edwards has never had traction. A year or so ago, the MSM decided the Dem race was Hillary v. Obama, and so it has been.
I’d been waiting all year for Obama to have some substance under the rhetoric that distinguished him from Hillary. I gave up waiting about a month ago, and then he started cozying up to the anti-gay leader Donnie McClurkin, which sealed the deal. At this point, quite honestly, I’d rather have Hillary than Obama as the Dem nominee.
The MSM are pawns to the corporations that run America, and they see Edwards as the greatest threat to their profitability. Thus he’s been marginalized since day 1. The MSM really wants Hillary since she’s the most Republican-like Democrat out there and they are the creators of her inevitability.
I’m not happy with being palsy-walsy with anti-gay leaders either. I’m sure I would find much more to disagree with Obama about than Edwards. But I think we have to be realistic. If Hillary gets nominated, she might win, but the Democratic majorities in the House and Senate would be smaller. She has poison coattails. Among the real Democrats, you have to ask yourself who can de-cackle Hillary. Edwards whom we love dearly but isn’t going to shake that slick lawyer $400 haircut stigma. Or Richardson who has the executive experience but is uninspiring and dull. Or Biden and Dodd, the thoughtful and wise Senators. They’re like the plain girls in high school that you should have gone after, rather than lusting for the head cheerleader. Then there’s Obama, someone who might energize a new generation of Democratic voters. It seems like every time we nominate the panderer over the idealist, I’d like to try a different tack this time.
My personal pick/hope is that some how Kucinich pulls off the upset, or that Gore will jump back in at some point; I’m not completely holding my breath on either of those however. So instead I offer this bit more likely, and if I do say so myself, quite unbeatable ticket:
Barack Obama/ Wesley Clark
…with a(n early?) cabinet announcement of Bill Richardson as Secretary of State
You are right. I tend to project my beliefs and underestimate the GOP’s strategy and appeal to American voters, especially the values voter. The republicans are trying, and maybe effectively, to distance themselves from the Bush administration and right wing fundamentalism. Mike Huckabee is presenting himself as a moderate conservative, and it seems to be working with republican voters who don’t want to abandon their party, especially the working class.
I think American voters want progressive change. No matter what, The Republican Party does have the Bush legacy. It should be enough to keep them out, at least I hope so.
Progressive voters want progressive change. Conservative voters want Republicans to keep the White House.
Most people in this thread are predicting with their hearts instead of their heads. The real truth is that upwards of eighty percent of the people who will vote a year from now already know which party they’ll pull the lever for.
About five percent of the population in this country will decide who wins.
Presuming, of course, your speculated 80% is evenly split. If three quarters of that 80% votes one way and the other quarter votes the other, the undecideds can vote for a douchebag full of pickle juice for all the difference it would make.
a) Hillary Clinton secures the Democratic nomination but it’s closer (Obama being 2nd) than current polls indicate. During the primaries Obama becomes the Alternatie-to-Clinton.
b) To the astonishment of everybody, Giuliani beats Romney in the Republican primaries. Turns out to be a better politician than given credit for. And/or Romney not a very good politician.
c) Clinton defeats Giuliani but it’s not a blowout. The debates are actually interesting, neither candidate is stupid. Mostly exit polls show people were tired of the Republicans. There are never any clear stats as to whether being female was a liability for Clinton, some feel she lost some percantages, other analysts say the only people for whom it was an issue weren’t likely to vote Democratic no matter what.
d) Senate gains 4 Dem seats. House gains a handful of Dem seats.
Guess I should have broken this one up into multiple predictions!
Has Huckabee gained some traction? Yes. (I was right.)
Has he threatened the leader? Yes. (I was wrong.)
Has he raised/will he raise enough money in time to have a presence in many states before and on Feb. 5? We don’t know yet, but he’s certainly a presence in Iowa, and he’s clearly a factor in a few other states. It’s unclear whether he’ll be a factor (with or without money) in many Feb. 5 states. (This one’s still a maybe.)