(The obvious being Hillary, minorities, the country, the world, etc…)
To me, one person who is screwed is John Kasich. Not only did he turn down being selected as the VP, he withdrew any hope of an endorsement after the Billy Bush video, saying “I will not vote for a nominee who has behaved in a manner that reflects so poorly on our country.”
It’s safe to assume that Trump is going to hold grudges in a way that makes Nixon look like an old softy. So, instead of being effectively President, Kasich is screwed.
Why do you expect the blowout loss, considering this election? Do you think Trump’s policies will go too far for some people, or not go far enough for others? Or both?
ETA for the post above: that’s a big wild card for me: how much can Trump do and get away with it, both politically and legally. I don’t think it’s a done deal by any means that he can do more than bluster on that score - not if he wants to keep the Presidency.
as much as I had enough qualms with him to vote for Hillary, he’s not the end of the Republic. The splits in his own party assure that on trade and foreign policy. He also will probably wanna run again in 2020, and he has bested Romney in the Hispanic vote and the black vote.
If he wins the popular vote, he’ll both not win by a large margin, as well as a plurality, rather than a majority (not that that matters, as 47-46 isn’t much different than 50.1-49.1). He’ll need more women, more Hispanics, blacks, etc.
I also think a loss will come not just from energized groups that will be affected directly by Trump, but also the realization by many (specially from the rust belt states) that all what Trump promised to them will not take place.
So… your inability to predict this event doesn’t give you the slightest pause here? Maybe a brief flitter of thought that says, “Wait, self…maybe I don’t have such a finger on the pulse of the nation as I thought. Maybe my confident predictions aren’t so hot.”