I just want to nominate ‘fire in the belly’ as the most obnoxious catch-phrase of the last election cycle, and hearing it repeatedly used by politicians and pundits in the ramp-up to the next election is already very annoying.
Oh, and Palin doesn’t have a snowball’s chance in hell. If she’s thinking of running, it’ll probably because she’s determined that running and losing will still be better for her celebrity status than not running and being increasingly marginalized/forgotten.
My best guess is that she’ll play coy, never ruling out a run, making increasing noise about a possible campaign, using her PAC money for an ‘exploratory’ committee, ‘keeping her options open’, yada yada yada until she can’t possible milk another ounce of publicity out of a non-campaign campaign, then she’ll announce that reluctantly she’s decided not to run for personal reasons. That way she doesn’t have to risk losing or being made to look like a fool in another interview, while grabbing as much gravitas as a ‘serious’ candidate as she can.
Okay, but I only give my newsletter a two-Gingrich shot at making it to the third issue. Two Gingriches is about equivalent to Hilary Clinton’s odds of becoming RNC chair.
Sarah Palin’s chances of ever being elected President ended on July 26, 2009 - the day she resigned as Governor of Alaska.
If she were ever to come close to being nominated, every opponent (in both parties) will bring the subject up. How can we elect her to the Presidency if she couldn’t handle being Governor of Alaska? What happens if she can’t take the pressure? What happens if she quits again?
She’s got zero chance. Bachmann’s in, and she’s basically a more articulate version of Palin (albeit no less crazy). Both of them running would be a fight over the same base of votes, and really they’d both lose. All Palin can do is screw up Bachmann’s act and, via the bank shot, improve Pawlenty’s prospects somewhat.
But I don’t think she’s running. As of the end of April, she’d made ZERO visits to early primary states.
Barring a surprise late entry like Rick Perry, the field’s major players are set: Romney, Pawlenty, Bachmann. Using a very flexible definition of ‘major’ but still not flexible enough to include Huntsman or Gingrich.
I heard that it’s not because she’s running for the Senate, but that she might need a POTUS campaign headquarters somewhere more centrally located in the US (compared to AK) and that AZ is a state she already has strong support in.
Depends – if her people figure that the victimization card will still play, she’ll do a few interviews and announce that she’s not running because she’s sick and tired of “what color is the sky?” gotcha questions from the lamestream media.
The problem with her current grift is that she occasionally has to go through the effort of turning the crank on her money machine.
Facebook posts aren’t generating enough money anymore, and last I saw she’s having some of her big speaking fee events get cancelled.
So, she plays the “I’m running for something. Or am I?” game to remind her followers that she’s still significant. And she’d better play it soon and often, because holy hell her looks are drying up pretty quick.
Shit, she’ll do some kind of “tundra to desert” reality show. I can think of lots of funny scenes, like being completely mystified when her moose hunt comes up dry.
Whether she runs for the senate or the White House, or the mayor of Scottsdale, she will get a deal to turn it into a reality show.
I know campaign restrictions are becoming increasingly farcical but would it be possible for a “hypothetical” network to legally run a reality show about an active political campaign?
