Polling is broken, right? Or is it the news? Or all of the US?

[DSeid]

@Jas09

What if, for example, Harris has weakened marginally with black and hispanic men, but strengthened significantly with white women (of all education levels) relative to Biden 2020?

Care to participate here?

Prediction for specific demographic changes compared to 2020

Up down for total turnout to which side using 2020 as the baseline. Sources: for younger voters subgroups; and other groupings. Younger apparently gets defined as 18 to 29. My short version: Younger voters have an increase in female voter turnout and D preference across all subgroups. Biggest increase in young Black women, increasing from 47 to 55 or even 60%. The younger male vote remains an unchanged total turnout for Latino and Black men (39 and 31%) with a marginal but real improvement to…