Did you look at any of them? I’ve spent days reading many of them. In just a few minutes, I’ve found from: http://www.ojp.usdoj.gov/bjs/abstract/saycrle.htm that most of the persons who have committed sexual assaults on children were known to the child Not strangers. Family or close family friends. (numbers ranged from 65%- 90%) and the same site shows that 40% of those committing sexual assaults on children under 12 were juveniles themselves. (yes, I understand that leaves 60%)
In addition, a 1998 Bueau of Justice Stats news report http://www.ojp.usdoj.gov/bjs/pub/press/soo.pr
reviews national data since 1983, and reports that 8% of those who were convicted of a sexual assault were re-arrested for further sexual assault after release. (while they also state that convicted rapists are more likely than non convicted rapists to be convicted of a further sexual assault, the figure of 8% re-arrest is clearly there). How, exactly, does that translate to your assertion?
Besides, Izzy I listed a wealth of sources for you to check. You have yet to provide a single source for your “logical” assertion, but you claim mine, because they acknowledge that gathering info is difficult, cannot be trusted?
here’s more:
this one shows that treating sexual offenders (and breaks down the type) is effective. But even untreated had re-offence rates of about 20% http://inpsyte.asarian-host.org/alexander.htm (this will differ from the 8% above since it does not focus on specifically child molesters)
and another:
http://www.geocities.com/ocoistudios/RECIDIVI.htm
(this one checks out your supposition that first time offenders are a better risk - they are)
Now. Izzy while you’re busy labeling me as making “bizarre claims” - all of these cites were available from that search that I linked. I’ve done my homework and then some. I’ve demonstrated that your assumptions are not supported in facts that can be documented. You still maintain that I am the one making bizarre claims? I would submit to you that any conclusion that you still hold onto, in the face of empirical evidence is not “logical”.
My statements are(so we’re clear): sex offenders are not more likely to reoffend than other criminals. sex offenders do respond to treatment. Megan’s laws do not do anything to prevent child molestation. child molestation is a very horrible thing that should never happen to any child - but any specific child is more at risk for this from people that are known to them and their families than the guy down the block.