McCain and Huckabee too close to call.
Obama wiping the floor with Hillary.
Developing…
Virginia called for Obama.
While I don’t count Hillary out I would say that Obama is going to take this thing. He’s won Virgina from what I was reading and looks poised to take a lot of the other high delegate states as well.
Was reading this on CNN…I’d say Hillary is in serious trouble and maybe should start looking for ways to be part of an Obama presidency at this point…
-XT
It seems really premature for CNN to call VA for Obama, 251-236.
They have exit polling. Obama must be wiping the floor if they’ll call t before they see how closely it sticks to reality.
Here is CNN’s article…it really isn’t that close CC. They are saying 51/48…I don’t think that is going to change much…
-XT
Fox and MSNBC have called it too. The exit polls are indicating a huge lead for Obama , so that might have something to do with it.
56-43 now with 1% in. Of course, anything can happen with the other 99% but I don’t think we’ll be surprised tonight.
Edit: 61-38 now…
The latest poll is 61-38, Obama. I guess the other 1% voted for me.
Of course, it’s not the electoral college. A lead of 13% in Virginia would be outweighed by Clinton winning Texas by what, 4%? 5 at most.
The issue here is not whether Obama wins these primaries, which everybody in the world including Hillary Clinton expected him to, but the effect it will have on their campaigns. Some will say this will simply sink the Clinton boat even more; others will say she has time to regroup and get her ducks in a row before Texas and Ohio. What will happen?
Eight minutes until Maryland and DC close. I figure both of those will go Obama’s way as well.
Clinton had better try to do SOMETHING in Wisconsin or Hawaii just to stem the tide.
Obama’s campaign will get more campaign contributions and the money will continue to pour in…while Clinton will continue to struggle for funding.
Money equals life in these races. Result…Obama wins and goes on to take the nomination. And probably the presidency unless McCain can somehow convince the center AND the right of his own party that he is at the same time conservative enough but not TOO conservative. :dubious:
-XT
Ironically, I was reading an article today which suggests that Clinton can win Texas by 5% and still come out with less Texas delegates than Obama due to the way they’re awarded and which districts Obama is most likely to win.
I don’t say that as a “Yay! Obama!” thing but it made me chuckle given your example.
Assuming a simple proportional split, and using the gap as I post this (about 25%), it’d be 51 delegates for Obama, 22 for Clinton, net 29 for Obama. If Texas could be as simple (and it’s not, but let’s say it is for the sake of argument), a 6% win (so 53-47 for Clinton) would be 102 Clinton, 91 Obama, net 11 Clinton. Clinton would have to win by double-digits just to balance out Virginia, much less the other states.
And MSNBC just called DC for Obama.
And Maryland will be open until 9:30. This one’s gonna take a while, boys.
He must have one hell of a lead in exit polling for them to call that with 0% of the districts in.
NBC and Fox are calling VA for McCain. I suspect the other networks are doing so as well, but I was only watching those two. Obama is doing very well-- Hillary must be shaking in her boots, and Bill must be making some furious phone calls…
It’s 60 some percent black. You could have called DC for Obama at 8 this morning.
CNN did call it for McCain a few minutes ago. It’s a win he needed, but this was very close. I have to disagree with people who say it’s a good thing for McCain that Huckabee is still in the race. I think the fact that he’s doing so well, even though he can’t win, shows a big chunk of the GOP base just is not comfortable with McCain, and every time he wins or runs close it reminds people of that. CNN made it sound like the McCain camp was expecting to win by more than 2 percent in Virginia, too. It’d be too dramatic to call it a pyrrhic victory, but it’s not a particularly encouraging one for them.