According to this story, Obama has been expected to sweep this region with a high African-Amerian population, but Clinton is pulling out all the stops to reach the suburban and rural Dems. Place your bets! (figure of speech, no solicitation to unlawful activies intended)
All Obama. He’s got the African-American bulwark, most of the white educated beltway professionals, and will make headway in the suburbs.
Seconded.
I think DC will give Obama his biggest margin of victory yet (60% black population means that he’s starting with about 50% of the vote). It’s harder to say for Virginia and Maryland. Large black populations means he’s got to have an advantage, but will those states behave more like GA or AL (where Obama got a significant portion of the white vote) or more like TN (where he didn’t)?
Obama in DC and Maryland, Virginia is going to be a tossup.
That all looks good for Obama - and I think the Clinton camp has already conceded Maryland and DC, along with Louisiana on Saturday. I don’t know if they say the same about Virginia.
Right now I guess the Clinton strategy is to lay low and hope she can pull off some surprise win/close finishes in the next few weeks, while putting most of their effort into trying for big wins on March 4 in Ohio and Texas, which is sort of looking like Super Tuesday Round 2. Wisconsin might be big, too.
In the DC burbs, Obama will get plenty of white support.
Says here they’re both trying hard to get the Latino vote in Metro DC. Latinos in CA mostly went for Clinton.
As of right now, four pollsters have surveyed Virginia in the past few days. They showed Obama up by 15-20 points, with the high end being represented by Survey USA. They’re very good - bet against them at your own risk.
Survey USA dinged most of Super Tuesday correctly, accurately guessing CA and MA over the more optimistic predictions of the other polling companies. Them giving Obama a huge lead seems meaningful to me, especially combined with the predictions of the other outfits.
I’m calling a sweep for Obama and a fairly telling one at that. The best Clinton can hope for is to minimize her losses.
I can’t find a poll for Wisconsin since December, but neighboring Minnesota went for Obama 66-32. Obama could well run off nine straight between Super Tuesday and Junior Tuesday (Ohio & Texas) – and have adequate time to use those results to close the gap in those two states.
According to www.electoral-vote.com the last poll in Wisconsin was conducted by ARG and has Clinton in the lead 50-41 as of February 7 (so after Super Tuesday but before this weekend.)
Really? That high? And with Minnesota and Illinois going Obama on Super Tuesday? Weird.
Well, Obama will have a week to work the state between Virginia/Maryland/DC and Wisconsin. He seems to do well when he has time to visit and campaign and I’m optimistic that he can turn it around. Not counting Michigan, that entire region has gone to Obama so my hopes are up. I’ll worry more if he hasn’t changed things by the 17th or so.
Well, if Obama completes the sweep next Tuesday, it’ll be interesting to see what the polling data looks like for the week leading into Wisconsin. And who knows what places with lots of young potential voters like Madison and Milwaukee will look like.
Sweep, sweep, sweep.
Did you see this story?
Oh, gloat, whydoncha?!
Hillary, finding the water a little colder, deeper, and faster flowing than she bargained for, switches horses mid-stream:
Clinton campaign manager Patty Solis Doyle is being replaced by Maggie Williams.
It’s not hard to guess that Obama will sweep the Potomac Primary; he has momentum, it’s his best demographic, and Clinton’s campaign is showing signs of coming apart. I imagine she’s a terror when things aren’t going well.
Obama by 35% in DC, 15% in MD, and 10% in VA.
I wouldn’t want to be around her when things aren’t going well…However, I see a cartoonish showing where she is screaming at her staff until an AP reporter shows up with a camera then she switches to strawberry shortcake in front of the flash…It’s be a good cartoon.
To the OP: Obama sweeps the potomac primary winning by double digits. After that Howard Dean leans leavy on Hillary to back down and enter the convention backing Obama. I cannot even fathom anyone asking Obama to back down…it just doesn’t compute.