What, before Ohio and Texas are decided? No way would she back down that easy.
I can fathom it, if I am right to concieve of Clinton as the one with all the connections and string-pulling powers.
Also, I think Texas and Ohio are still expected to favor Clinton or at least be close races. And people say they’re a big deal.
-FrL-
Does anyone have an recent polling numbers from Ohio and/or Texas? I’d be interested to know how close/not close things are at the moment.
No I meant to say after the texas and ohio primaries, if Obama is the front-runner still after those.
If I were playing her hand, I’d certainly refuse to consider any concessions until after March 4.
But unless Obama does more poorly than expected between now and March 4, she’s going to need a convincing win that day to stay viable. Her only real chance after that for a big haul of delegates is PA on April 22.
In 1976, Pennsylvania wasn’t considered favorable territory for Jimmy Carter, but there were no other primaries that year during the 3 weeks preceding PA’s primary. Carter worked the state, and beat Scoop Jackson there.
Obama will have 6 weeks to focus on PA. And he’s a hell of a lot more persuasive than Carter was. Hillary may still win PA, but not in a landslide.
Clinton has decided to use the Giuliani strategy: None of these little states matter – the real test will be when we get to Florida, I mean Texas.
She’s toast.
I don’t much like Hillary, but does the oft-mentioned idea of her as a shrill bitch have any basis in reality?
You’re talking about the kind of “reality” that depends on – that is – perception. A and B might watch the same Clinton clip, A might come away saying “Shrill bitch!” and B might say “Strong woman!”
Not necessarily. The Dallas Morning News had an article on the primary yesterday.
Texas will be interesting. I think Obama may benefit during early voting as I expect he’ll get a lot of media coverage after his expected wins on Tuesday.
I can only speak as to the Dallas area, but there is a lot of black/Hispanic animonsity. The immigration marches and the Irving/Farmer’s Branch illegal immigration battles have thrown gasoline onto this hostility.
Do the Latinos have any animosity towards Obama?
Mexican President Felipe Calderon is coming to the US talking about Immigration…he is using the exact same verbage from Obama’s proposed immigration stance…may be coincidence, may not. I’ll dig up a cite.
That’s nice, but what about those Latinos who are U.S. citizens and can vote in the Texas Dem primary? How do they feel about Obama and Clinton respectively?
Thanks for the link. Interesting article. It actually doesn’t paint as bleak a picture as one would think by the title. I think these two points might become very pertinent:
Plus, what they haven’t run into with Obama yet, is how damn good his ground game is. He tends to set up more precinct offices, with more visibility and more people pounding the pavement for him than Hillary does. And they provide us with the tools we need to contact registered voters, even if we don’t live in those states.
The success rates people are reporting, of talking people into getting off their butts and voting or caucusing instead of sitting home on their day off, or of convincing them that Obama is the better choice, up to and including on election day, are staggering. One woman reported that feedback from the precinct she was calling into in Maine, said 3 of the people who were there for Obama were there because of phone calls they’d received from Obama supporters. That precinct ended up going to Obama, 11 to 9. Make no mistake, the same methods will be used throughout every other upcoming race, and it’s been very successful so far.
I still like his chances in Texas just fine.
Just found this story .
State Rep. Pete Gallego, chairman of the Mexican American Legislative Caucus, has announced he is endorsing Barack Obama for president
A huge break for Obama in Texas.
Nice! I think the huge endorsements Barack has been getting are indicative of someone who is going to go all the way. Go Barack!
Getting back to the OP – does HRC have any chance of pulling it out in VA, or has Obama got the state sewn up? (I think the case is clear WRT MD and DC.)
I think she’s got a chance, but then I thought she had a chance in Maine too. I don’t want to get all caught up in saying tides are changing etc…etc…I’d rather wiat to see the votes. My WAG, no.
Clinton’s campaign doesn’t seem too optimistic, although it’s always possible they are playing the “lowering expectations” game.
I am in coastal SE Virginia, a conservative area. I would lean towards Clinton winning, but Obama has momentum. Despite conservative leanings, Virginia did elect the first black governor, a democrat. Governor Tim Kaine endorsed Obama. I am betting Obama wins Virginia.
I just heard a group from Richmond on NPR and the overwhelming support from the cross section of voters interviewed seemed to want a “new face” in the WH.
I’d say Obama takes Virginia heartily.