Handicap next Tuesday's "Potomac Primary" (VA, DC, MD)

Survey USA’s latest is that Obama’s up 60-38 in VA, 55-32 in MD.

Sweep city.

I had the pleasure of attending Obama’s rally in Baltimore yesterday and I even got to shake hands with him both as he entered and as he left the arena. There was certainly no doubt about which way those 13,000 votes were going.

I really can’t even fully describe the moment when he came out, but the image of it is going to be burned into my memory forever. The U2 music comes up, he walks out, waves, people go absolutely nuts, and he walks right up and shakes my hand (along with many others). Not to mention the speech… It’s something I’ll tell my grandkids about.

I have goosebumps! Same reaction in Hartford a couple weeks ago. Isn’t it absolutely amazing to see him in person? Sometime I don’t even think he can believe the crowds and fanfair. I think this reaction by every crowd he gets in front of is indicative of a country who has been ready for a president like him, and who are ready for the kind of change he is going to bring to the US Gov’t.

Wow. Sounds awesome. (hoping he makes his way back to SF soon…)

Personally, on Saturday I thought Hillary had the edge in Maine and Virginia would be pretty even. Maine was a caucus, though, and that does seem to favor Obama. Now, with some momentum on his side, I think there’s a good chance of an Obama sweep today too. Anyone know where the next primaries are after this?

Wisconsin and Hawaii.

That’s it, I’m not voting for him :eek: :eek:

Unless there’s a surprise in Virginia, Wisconsin represents Clinton’s only chance for a Feb win (outside of Super Tuesday). Hawaii is Obama’s birth state and expected to go easily to him.

Wisconsin isn’t looking so hot for Clinton anymore…

Latest:

It should also be pointed out that while Clinton is campaigning in Texas, Obama was in the Senate today voting ‘Yes’ to strip the telecoms of their immunity. Unfortunately the amendment didn’t pass, but this will only help him and hurts Hillary in the voting record debate. I guess, Mccain, who voted ‘No’ could try and argue with Obama on this as a National Security measure, but I don’t think that allowing the phone companies to break the law against the American public and get away with it will fly too far. The msm has been quiet about this whole thing for forever and a day now and I doubt they will want to bring it up later either.

As it increasingly looks like Obama is cruising in February, the “word” is that Clinton’s only hope to stop the bleeding is in Ohio and Texas. But I cannot find any recent polling in either of those states. Conventional wisdom appears to have Clinton with an edge in Ohio due to it’s heavy “working class” voting block, and an edge in Texas due to Hispanics. I’d love to know how true that still is. On www.electoral-vote.com , the latest poll from Texas is Jan 31, an age ago in this election. And the latest from Ohio is from early December! That may as well be last century.

FTR, they have it at from those dates at:
Texas - Clinton 48%, Obama 38%
Ohio - Clinton 45%, Obama 19%

Why the hell are there no more recent polls? (Or, if there are some, someone please post them!)

I like your Username BTW ShadowFacts - Are you a Tolkien fan or just like horses?

Anyway, if you’d like to see how Obama is doing in Texas Check this out. Incredibly organized and well funded, his network is a machine. WOW.

As for Ohio, Cincinnati, Cleveland, and Akron major news papers are endorsing Ohio…no stats to show though, I’ll keep digging.

I wouldn’t get too excited about that, they have an obvious pro-Ohio bias.

Ohioans for Ohio! :wink:

Here’s a poll that was posted online on 2/4/08, but I can’t figure out the dates on which it was actually conducted.

Clinton: 44%
Obama: 28%
Edwards (?): 17%

Here’s a SUSA poll released today. It shows Clinton over Obama 56-39.

Aw, who cares what they think?

“O-H!”

“I-O!”

“O-H!”

“I-O!”

etc.

They live in that state and the dumbasses don’t even know when to stop spelling it! :wink:

Oh, just a Tolkien fan who likes a little wordplay. Thanks for the compliment! :slight_smile:

Don’t take this the wrong way, but that site didn’t do much for me. Too busy and disorganized for me to glean much. I must be getting old! :cool:

Thanks, I appreciate your effort. I had heard (probably from Shayna!) that the Cleveland Plain Dealer had endorsed him, so that’s good news.

That’s going to be a substantial lead to overcome. Not that he cant do it, but I had been hoping that it would be within 10 at this point.

Oh he’s looking at a clean sweep most likely today, I’d think he’s got quite a timeline to campaign in Ohio, and if Clinton is going to do what some of us think she is [continue the downards spiral] it may not matter the spread in TX and OH - Obama will already be the clear leader. Obama is going to make a great showing in both states, and two more wins for Clinton (unless they are complete blowouts] won’t mean too much.