Predict the AP Top Ten (post-bowl 2011-2012)

Since we have a break in the bowl action today, I’m working up a list of potential teams for AP’s post-bowl rankings. I’ll post it when I get it done.

Meanwhile, using whatever scheme you choose, give us your pick for the Top Ten teams.

Just remember that these teams have yet to finish their seasons:

================================

Jan. 6 AT&T Cotton Bowl Classic
Cowboys Stadium
Arlington, TX
8:00 pm FOX
#8 Kansas State Wildcats (10–2)
#6 Arkansas Razorbacks (10–2)
Big 12
SEC

Jan. 7 BBVA Compass Bowl
Legion Field
Birmingham, AL
1:00 pm ESPN
SMU Mustangs (7–5)
Pittsburgh Panthers (6–6)
C-USA
Big East

Jan. 8 GoDaddy.com Bowl
Ladd Peebles Stadium
Mobile, AL
9:00 pm
Northern Illinois Huskies (10–3)
Arkansas State Red Wolves (10–2)
MAC
Sun Belt

Jan. 9 Allstate BCS National Championship Game
Mercedes-Benz Superdome
New Orleans, LA
8:30 pm
#1 LSU Tigers (13–0)
#2 Alabama Crimson Tide (11–1)
SEC
SEC

Can you post the current top 20? Most sites are blocked for me at work.

I’m still getting things together for a list of the teams that had an over-.500 record. Hopefully within the hour.

Here’s an unsorted list of all that had at least a 6-6 record:

= unfinished season



Standings 

Clemson (14)          6-2 10-4     Atlantic Coast Atlantic
Florida State (25)    5-3  9-4     Atlantic Coast Atlantic
North Carolina State  4-4  8-5     Atlantic Coast Atlantic
Virginia Tech (17)    7-1 11-3     Atlantic Coast Coastal
Virginia              5-3  8-5     Atlantic Coast Coastal
Georgia Tech          5-3  8-5     Atlantic Coast Coastal 
Miami (FL)            3-5  6-6     Atlantic Coast Coastal 
North Carolina        3-5  7-6     Atlantic Coast Coastal
West Virginia (23)    5-2 10-3     Big East
Cincinnati            5-2 10-3     Big East
Louisville            5-2  7-6     Big East
Rutgers               4-3  9-4     Big East
Pittsburgh            4-3  6-6  #  Big East  
Wisconsin (9)         6-2 11-3     Big Ten Leaders  
Penn State (24)       6-2  9-4     Big Ten Leaders  
Purdue                4-4  7-6     Big Ten Leaders 
Illinois              2-6  7-6     Big Ten Leaders  
Michigan State (12)   7-1 11-3     Big Ten Legends
Michigan (13)         6-2 11-2     Big Ten Legends
Nebraska (21)         5-3  9-4     Big Ten Legends
Iowa                  4-4  7-6     Big Ten Legends
Oklahoma State (3)    8-1 12-1     Big 12 
Kansas State (11)     7-2 10-2  #  Big 12
Baylor (15)           6-3 10-3     Big 12
Oklahoma (19)         6-3 10-3     Big 12
Missouri              5-4  8-5     Big 12
Texas                 4-5  8-5     Big 12
Texas A&M             4-5  7-6     Big 12
Southern Miss (22)    6-2 12-2     Conference USA East 
Marshall              5-3  7-6     Conference USA East 
Houston (20)          8-0 13-1     Conference USA West
Tulsa                 7-1  8-5     Conference USA West
Southern Methodist    5-3  7-5   # Conference USA West 
Ohio                  6-2 10-4     Mid-American East
Temple                5-3  9-4     Mid-American East
Northern Illinois     7-1 10-3   # Mid-American West
Toledo                7-1  9-4     Mid-American West
Western Michigan      5-3  7-6     Mid-American West
Ball State            4-4  6-6     Mid-American West
Eastern Michigan      4-4  6-6     Mid-American West
TCU (16)              7-0 11-2     Mountain West 
Boise State (8)       6-1 12-1     Mountain West 
Wyoming               5-2  8-5     Mountain West 
San Diego State       4-3  8-5     Mountain West 
Air Force             3-4  7-6     Mountain West 
Oregon (6)            8-1 12-2     Pac-12 North
Stanford (4)          8-1 11-2     Pac-12 North
Washington            5-4  7-6     Pac-12 North
California            4-5  7-6     Pac-12 North
USC (5)               7-2 10-2     Pac-12 South
Utah                  4-5  8-5     Pac-12 South
Georgia (18)          7-1 10-4     Southeastern East  
South Carolina (10)   6-2 11-2     Southeastern East  
Florida               3-5  7-6     Southeastern East  
LSU (1)               8-0 13-0  #  Southeastern West
Alabama (2)           7-1 11-1  #  Southeastern West 
Arkansas (7)          6-2 10-2  #  Southeastern West
Auburn                4-4  8-5     Southeastern West
Mississippi State     2-6  7-6     Southeastern West
Arkansas State        8-0 10-2  #  Sun Belt 
Western Kentucky      7-1  7-5     Sun Belt 
Louisiana-Lafayette   6-2  9-4     Sun Belt 
FIU                   5-3  8-5     Sun Belt 
Louisiana Tech        6-1  8-5     Western Athletic
Utah State            5-2  7-6     Western Athletic
Nevada                5-2  7-6     Western Athletic
Notre Dame            1-0  8-5     Independents (FBS)
Brigham Young         0-0 10-3     Independents (FBS)
 
Last updated Thursday, Jan 5, 2012 2:29 am EST


Here’s the sorted list:

Sources:

= incomplete season

======================================



Standings 

LSU (1)               8-0 13-0  #  Southeastern West

Houston (20)          8-0 13-1     Conference USA West

Oklahoma State (3)    8-1 12-1     Big 12 
Boise State (8)       6-1 12-1     Mountain West 

Oregon (6)            8-1 12-2     Pac-12 North
Southern Miss (22)    6-2 12-2     Conference USA East 
 
Alabama (2)           7-1 11-1  #  Southeastern West 

Stanford (4)          8-1 11-2     Pac-12 North
TCU (16)              7-0 11-2     Mountain West 
Michigan (13)         6-2 11-2     Big Ten Legends 
South Carolina (10)   6-2 11-2     Southeastern East 

Virginia Tech (17)    7-1 11-3     Atlantic Coast Coastal 
Michigan State (12)   7-1 11-3     Big Ten Legends 
Wisconsin (9)         6-2 11-3     Big Ten Leaders  

Arkansas State        8-0 10-2  #  Sun Belt 
Kansas State (11)     7-2 10-2  #  Big 12
USC (5)               7-2 10-2     Pac-12 South
Arkansas (7)          6-2 10-2  #  Southeastern West

Northern Illinois     7-1 10-3  #  Mid-American West
Baylor (15)           6-3 10-3     Big 12
Oklahoma (19)         6-3 10-3     Big 12
West Virginia (23)    5-2 10-3     Big East
Cincinnati            5-2 10-3     Big East
Brigham Young         0-0 10-3     Independents (FBS)

Georgia (18)          7-1 10-4     Southeastern East  
Clemson (14)          6-2 10-4     Atlantic Coast Atlantic
Ohio                  6-2 10-4     Mid-American East

Toledo                7-1  9-4     Mid-American West
Penn State (24)       6-2  9-4     Big Ten Leaders  
Louisiana-Lafayette   6-2  9-4     Sun Belt 
Florida State (25)    5-3  9-4     Atlantic Coast Atlantic
Nebraska (21)         5-3  9-4     Big Ten Legends
Temple                5-3  9-4     Mid-American East
Rutgers               4-3  9-4     Big East

Tulsa                 7-1  8-5     Conference USA West 
Louisiana Tech        6-1  8-5     Western Athletic
Wyoming               5-2  8-5     Mountain West 
Virginia              5-3  8-5     Atlantic Coast Coastal
Georgia Tech          5-3  8-5     Atlantic Coast Coastal 
FIU                   5-3  8-5     Sun Belt 
Missouri              5-4  8-5     Big 12
San Diego State       4-3  8-5     Mountain West 
North Carolina State  4-4  8-5     Atlantic Coast Atlantic
Auburn                4-4  8-5     Southeastern West
Texas                 4-5  8-5     Big 12
Utah                  4-5  8-5     Pac-12 South
Notre Dame            1-0  8-5     Independents (FBS)

Western Kentucky      7-1  7-5     Sun Belt 
Southern Methodist    5-3  7-5  #  Conference USA West 

Louisville            5-2  7-6     Big East
Utah State            5-2  7-6     Western Athletic
Nevada                5-2  7-6     Western Athletic
Marshall              5-3  7-6     Conference USA East
Western Michigan      5-3  7-6     Mid-American West
Washington            5-4  7-6     Pac-12 North
Purdue                4-4  7-6     Big Ten Leaders 
Iowa                  4-4  7-6     Big Ten Legends
Texas A&M             4-5  7-6     Big 12
California            4-5  7-6     Pac-12 North
Air Force             3-4  7-6     Mountain West 
North Carolina        3-5  7-6     Atlantic Coast Coastal
Florida               3-5  7-6     Southeastern East 
Illinois              2-6  7-6     Big Ten Leaders 
Mississippi State     2-6  7-6     Southeastern West

Miami (FL)            3-5  6-6     Atlantic Coast Coastal 
Pittsburgh            4-3  6-6  #  Big East 
Ball State            4-4  6-6     Mid-American West
Eastern Michigan      4-4  6-6     Mid-American West
 
Last updated Thursday, Jan 5, 2012 2:29 am EST


If you had an AP vote which teams would make your Top Ten?

My predictions are Arkansas and LSU to win their bowls.

  1. LSU
  2. Oklahoma State
  3. Alabama
  4. Oregon
  5. USC
  6. Arkansas
  7. Stanford
  8. South Carolina
  9. Boise State
  10. Michigan State

I have Alabama ranked 3 here, but I would drop them to 4 depending on the game with LSU. If Alabama is still in it (lead or within 10 points) in the 4th quarter, I’d keep them up. If the 4th quarter is just nothing and LSU wins by something like 20-3, then I’d drop Bama to 4th.

  1. Alabama
  2. LSU
  3. Oklahoma State
  4. Oregon
  5. Arkansas
  6. South Carolina
  7. Boise State
  8. Michigan
  9. Stanford
  10. Houston

Roll Tide!:wink:

Missed the edit window, so put USC between Arkansas and South Carolina. Drop Houston to #11.

I think Alabama will win by a TD or more. Both coaches recognize that the BCSCG will determine the nation champion. Even a one-point Crimson Tide victory would give them my #1 vote.

Here’s an update of the current batch with at least 10 wins. The “#” set will be different by Tuesday Jan/10. Then it will all be up to taste and magic:



Standings 

LSU (1)               8-0 13-0  #  Southeastern West

Houston (20)          8-0 13-1     Conference USA West

Oklahoma State (3)    8-1 12-1     Big 12 
Boise State (8)       6-1 12-1     Mountain West 

Oregon (6)            8-1 12-2     Pac-12 North
Southern Miss (22)    6-2 12-2     Conference USA East 
 
Alabama (2)           7-1 11-1  #  Southeastern West 

Stanford (4)          8-1 11-2     Pac-12 North
TCU (16)              7-0 11-2     Mountain West 
Michigan (13)         6-2 11-2     Big Ten Legends 
South Carolina (10)   6-2 11-2     Southeastern East 
Arkansas (7)          6-2 11-2     Southeastern West

Virginia Tech (17)    7-1 11-3     Atlantic Coast Coastal 
Michigan State (12)   7-1 11-3     Big Ten Legends 
Wisconsin (9)         6-2 11-3     Big Ten Leaders  

Arkansas State        8-0 10-2  #  Sun Belt 
USC (5)               7-2 10-2     Pac-12 South

Northern Illinois     7-1 10-3  #  Mid-American West
Kansas State (11)     7-2 10-3     Big 12
Baylor (15)           6-3 10-3     Big 12
Oklahoma (19)         6-3 10-3     Big 12
West Virginia (23)    5-2 10-3     Big East
Cincinnati            5-2 10-3     Big East
Brigham Young         0-0 10-3     Independents (FBS)

Georgia (18)          7-1 10-4     Southeastern East  
Clemson (14)          6-2 10-4     Atlantic Coast Atlantic
Ohio                  6-2 10-4     Mid-American East


After you’ve picked your Top Ten, which team(s) do you predict the AP will jump over your group or remove from your group?

Better yet, how many of the AP’s Top Ten won’t have won at least 10 games?

By the way, for those of you who have already posted, I have no problem with an update from you if your opinion has changed or if one or more of your picks is less likely to make the Top Ten.

Has anybody seen a date for AP to post their list? I suspect Tuesday, but it might be later.

Not that it makes any difference, but when it comes to the Big Ten in the final polls, the AP got the right order (Wisconsin, Michigan State, Michigan) while the coaches got silly rankings (Michigan, Michigan State, Wisconsin). Yes, Michigan had fewer losses and a BCS bowl win, but they were not the best of the Big Ten. And I say this as a Michigan fan.

I’ll leave it to those who participated in this thread to compare their own opinions with the final results of the AP, but here’s how that looks:

Sources:

http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/football/ncaa/polls/ap/



The Associated Press Top 25 Poll
Updated: Tuesday January 10, 2012 02:15 AM

Rank Team           Record Votes Previous 

 1 Alabama (55)       12-1 1,495 2 
 2 LSU (1)            13-1 1,425 1 
 3 Oklahoma State (4) 12-1 1,399 3 
 4 Oregon             12-2 1,250 6 
 5 Arkansas           11-2 1,198 7 
 6 USC                10-2 1,181 5 
 7 Stanford           11-2 1,167 4 
 8 Boise State        12-1 1,127 8 
 9 South Carolina     11-2 1,013 10 
10 Wisconsin          11-3   905 9 
11 Michigan State     11-3   873 12 
12 Michigan           11-2   839 13 
13 Baylor             10-3   780 15 
14 TCU                11-2   653 16 
15 Kansas State       10-3   621 11 
16 Oklahoma           10-3   572 19 
17 West Virginia      10-3   547 23 
18 Houston            13-1   518 20 
19 Georgia            10-4   439 18 
20 Southern Miss      12-2   411 22 
21 Virginia Tech      11-3   329 17 
22 Clemson            10-4   188 14 
23 Florida State       9-4   154 25 
24 Nebraska            9-4   143 21 
25 Cincinnati         10-3   103 NR 

Standings                                               The Associated Press Top 25 Poll

Houston (20)          8-0 13-1     Conference USA West         18 
LSU (1)               8-0 13-1     Southeastern West            2

Oklahoma State (3)    8-1 12-1     Big 12                       3
Alabama (2)           7-1 12-1     Southeastern West            1
Boise State (8)       6-1 12-1     Mountain West                8

Oregon (6)            8-1 12-2     Pac-12 North                 4 
Southern Miss (22)    6-2 12-2     Conference USA East         20 

Stanford (4)          8-1 11-2     Pac-12 North                 7 
TCU (16)              7-0 11-2     Mountain West               14
Michigan (13)         6-2 11-2     Big Ten Legends             12
South Carolina (10)   6-2 11-2     Southeastern East            9 
Arkansas (7)          6-2 11-2     Southeastern West            5

Virginia Tech (17)    7-1 11-3     Atlantic Coast Coastal      21
Michigan State (12)   7-1 11-3     Big Ten Legends             11
Northern Illinois     7-1 11-3     Mid-American West
Wisconsin (9)         6-2 11-3     Big Ten Leaders             10

USC (5)               7-2 10-2     Pac-12 South                 6

Arkansas State        8-0 10-3     Sun Belt 
Kansas State (11)     7-2 10-3     Big 12                      15
Baylor (15)           6-3 10-3     Big 12                      13
Oklahoma (19)         6-3 10-3     Big 12                      16
West Virginia (23)    5-2 10-3     Big East                    17
Cincinnati            5-2 10-3     Big East                    25
Brigham Young         0-0 10-3     Independents (FBS)

Georgia (18)          7-1 10-4     Southeastern East           19 
Clemson (14)          6-2 10-4     Atlantic Coast Atlantic     22
Ohio                  6-2 10-4     Mid-American East

Toledo                7-1  9-4     Mid-American West
Penn State (24)       6-2  9-4     Big Ten Leaders  
Louisiana-Lafayette   6-2  9-4     Sun Belt 
Florida State (25)    5-3  9-4     Atlantic Coast Atlantic     23
Nebraska (21)         5-3  9-4     Big Ten Legends             24
Temple                5-3  9-4     Mid-American East
Rutgers               4-3  9-4     Big East