No, of course not. But, conservatives are a numerical minority in America, both among the general population and among registered voters. You do understand that, don’t you? See here and here.
I like how you use a zero for the O when you type his name, that’s a nice touch.
Anyway, on that 400 EV prediction of yours, I’ll bet you $10,000 you are wrong…
No, no, Santorum is a moron; Romney is smart, but incurably out of touch.
'At’sa too bad!
Well, for me, its very simple and clear to me. All you have to do is look at the policies Barack 0bama supports. I would consider 0bama to be more of a Neo-Marxist, in that he may not do all the things a traditional marxist would do, however, he still supports the main foundations under which marxism is built which is greater government control, more regulations and the destruction of property of rights and freedoms, although he would have you believe you would be healthier as a result.
0bama admits attending socialist conferences and reading Marxist literature.
0bama’s childhood mentor, Frank Marshall Davis, was a prominent member of the Communist Party USA and an acknowledged Stalinist agent.
0bama held receptions at the home of, and served on boards with, another mentor who has had an indelible influence on his world view: William Ayers along with his wife Bernardine Dohrn. Both were Marxist terrorists.
So Illinois and New York and California have 104 electoral votes. Add Washington and Oregon and that’s 123. Add Hawaii, Maine, Maryland, Rhode Island, Connecticut, Delware, and Vermont and you have 158, meaning that’s 380 left for Romney. I’ve picked those smaller states because all of them went for Obama by 20+ points in 2008, and many by 30 and 40 points. If you think Romney is getting 400 EVs, you think he’s winning a few of those states. I haven’t even bothered adding the states I mentioned earlier (Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin) that Romney’s campaign doesn’t expect to win and I left out some other large states that were close only compared to these states (he won Minnesota by 12 points and Nevada by 16). If you think Romney is getting 400 electoral votes (or Obama for that matter), you are predicting some really weird stuff that has no basis at all in polling data or recent political history.
Right: you certainly can’t come to these conclusions based on any facts, so you have to assume most people think he’s a Communist even though about half the voting public says they plan to vote for him.
Moreover, we haven’t seen a landslide like Reagan - Carter since, well, Reagan - Carter. Given the social and political makeup of the country today, I doubt such a thing is possible.
“You do not understand the level of dissatisfaction with Obama’s policies around the country. In your insular, poll-driven microcosm of liberal elitism, you have lost the bigger picture.”
How exactly did you arrive at this special knowlege? Did you drive around the country and talk with thousands of Americans? Found it sealed in a mayonnaise jar on Funk and Wagnall’s front porch?I gotta know how you know this, oh great seer!
Wait, it gets better . . .
Feh, guys like Roger Williams tried to say that Obama is a socialist, only to find that his pants are on fire.
You do realize that those are practically antonyms, don’t you?
Don’t forget that he also wrote Sex Rebel: Black, a porn novel. He was a very busy guy.
Of course he’s a Communist. He would allow the top marginal income tax rate to rise back up to 39.6%, which is a core belief of Marxism.
Oh, that takes me back.
There is a name for people who think that all the polls are wrong: losers.
Although the OP didn’t predict 400+, I would like to ask him the same question asked of another poster here: exactly what states he thinks Romney would take to make it a “landslide.”
Interesting. Romney is giving up in a state (Wisconsin) in which both he and Obama have shifted money towards. How odd.
I love this thread SO MUCH, and I look forward to the eventual Pit thread resolution on November 7th. It’s amazing how people can look at the same information and come to two diametrically opposed conclusions. Amazing, confounding, and damn scary. No wonder we can’t get anything done.
/My money, if I had any to spare, would be on Moonshot’s, “Zerobama” FTW.
Where’s the support for your claim? Are all the polls completely wrong?
I’m assuming you expect a Reagan vs Carter massive reversal, but Carter was uniquely uninspiring as a leader, and Reagan was uniquely inspiring (though stunningly short on substance.)
It’s Obama that comes closest to being this era’s Reagan, with the charisma, confidence, and the personification of some of the culture’s preferred mythology. Romney’s a capable man, and would make a decent president, but he has nothing to offer in competition with Obama’s qualities.
Chickens? Roost? You’'ll have to help me on this one, and not with a newspaper that no one in the States reads. What I’ve seen is skilled, competent leadership. Does anyone who’s not already against Obama see thing differently?
In Romney’s recent speeches, I hear the sound of a man who’s scared and desperate. His continued gaffes - I fully expect he’ll make more - don’t help at all. He’s entirely lacking in the confidence, the assured, slightly bemused tone that encouraged so many Democrats abandon Carter in 1980. I see no hope of a massive reversal. Perhaps you can point me towards some evidence for your prediction?
Slight hijack, but bettering money is a non-starter on this medium–there’s no practical way to collect if you win, and you’ll feel (I think) obliged to pay up if you lose. Much better (take it from one who’s done it) to bet Straight Dope-related stakes: i.e. “I’ll stop posting for x amount of time if I lose, you’ll stop posting for y amount of time if you lose…” or the like, which can at least be enforced by the merciless mockery a welsher will endure. (Sorry about the term–I mean no disrespect to the fine land of Wales nor to those noble souls who hail from there.) Although I haven’t done this, I think an even better bet would be to have to bear some sort of “tag” for a specified period: i.e., “Totally wrong about the 2012 Presidential Race–and made a fool of myself in the process” or something similar appearing on every post.
Sorry–“bettering” = “betting”