Prop 19 (marijuana) debate. The stupid, it burns.

[Morgenstern]

@MPB_in_Salt_Lake

I saw today that the latest poll is showing the “No On 19” vote is about 10 points ahead of the pro 19 vote, which seems to be the exact opposite of the polls from just last month…

Any California Dopers have a feel for what the voters are likely to do?

Polls are funny things…

Prop 19 Gains Slightly in Latest Poll; Now Winning 48-41
By: Jon Walker Monday October 4, 2010 9:17 pm
http://elections.firedoglake.com/2010/10/04/prop-19-gains-slightly-in-latest-poll-winning-48-41/

I’m voting for it as I believe it will increase tourism

[AmunRa]

@MPB_in_Salt_Lake

I saw today that the latest poll is showing the “No On 19” vote is about 10 points ahead of the pro 19 vote, which seems to be the exact opposite of the polls from just last month…

Any California Dopers have a feel for what the voters are likely to do?

I think it has a lot to do with the company doing the poll. Wiki shows 4 polls in the last two weeks of September heavily in favor of the yes side. I find it unlikely that there was a 15 point shift between 20 September and 4 august, not to mention that the last two polls are within less than a week of the opposing poll.

[MPB_in_Salt_Lake]

@AmunRa

@MPB_in_Salt_Lake

I saw today that the latest poll is showing the “No On 19” vote is about 10 points ahead of the pro 19 vote, which seems to be the exact opposite of the polls from just last month…

Any California Dopers have a feel for what the voters are likely to do?

I think it has a lot to do with the company doing the poll. Wiki shows 4 polls in the last two weeks of September heavily in favor of the yes side. I find it unlikely that there was a 15 point shift between 20 September and 4 august, not to mention that the last two polls are within less than a week of the opposing poll.

As a frequent visitor to California (and someone who has spent considerable time in the Netherlands) I really hope you are right!!!

[Yookeroo]

@AmunRa

@MPB_in_Salt_Lake

I saw today that the latest poll is showing the “No On 19” vote is about 10 points ahead of the pro 19 vote, which seems to be the exact opposite of the polls from just last month…

Any California Dopers have a feel for what the voters are likely to do?

I think it has a lot to do with the company doing the poll. Wiki shows 4 polls in the last two weeks of September heavily in favor of the yes side. I find it unlikely that there was a 15 point shift between 20 September and 4 august, not to mention that the last two polls are within less than a week of the opposing poll.

Maybe the Broadus Effect?

[AmunRa]

I just realized I said 4 August in my last post. I did of course mean 4 October when the dissenting Ipsos poll was concluded.:o

[Measure_for_Measure]

If prop 19 passes, marijuana will still be illegal: it will conflict with Federal law. And the feds very well may do something about that. The very largest growers should beware.

I oppose Prop 19 as it permits localities to certify large growing operations, ones bigger than the 5x5 ones that would be automatically legal. Admittedly, I understand that the state could over-ride that, if it wished. Anyway, in the absence of meaningful campaign finance reform, I don’t want industrial scale growers and distributors running advertising and marketing campaigns on behalf of weed. Sure, cigarettes and alcohol are worse and marijuana prohibition sucks. But if we’re going to introduce another mind altering substance into American public life, I want the CDC involved. Besides, I think the medical marijuana shtick is working pretty well. If you don’t want to pay a physician $50, get your bud from the guy down the street.

I predict prop 19 will pass. I predict court battles will ensue. I anticipate explicit pot promotion this decade.