Based on the reaction of other gay-unfriendly environments in recent years, I suspect that it would be exceptionally difficult for any athlete to be the first to come out, but that acceptance would come surprisingly quickly.
It’s easy for people to talk shit when it’s all theory. “I don’t want a gay teammate, blah blah blah,” but when Steve Superstar comes out as gay and he’s the guy who threw 43 touchdown passes or scored 29 points a game or whatever, and you know the team’s going to waive your ass if you can’t get along, you’ll learn acceptance pretty quickly.
True story: I joined the Canadian Armed Forces in 1989. At that time, it was illegal for a soldier to be a homosexual. Gays were not welcome, and the environment was openly prejudiced. Jokes about gays were not only allowed, but freely used by instructors to belittle students on basic training. One of my drill insfructors stated “I hate homosexuals!” It was simply an accepted part of the program.
There was talk in the early 90’s of getting rid of the rule against gays, and the near-universal opinion of those who cared enough about it to think about it was that it was a horrible idea that would destroy esprit de corps and they would never, ever accept a gay soldier.
In the early 90’s the Forces eliminated the rule against gay soldiers, anticipating that it would be struck down in court anyway if they didn’t change it first. So what happened?
None of the trash talk scenarios of doom happened. Gays have gained amazingly quick acceptance in the Forces; a year or so ago two guys actually got married, in uniform, on base. When it came time to actually do something about it, all the bigmouth shit-talkers shut their yaps.
It is also worth inspecting a comparable situation in pro sports, that being the integration of black players. When baseball first prepared for integration in 1947 the shit that was talked up was amazing. There were serious remours of entire teams refusing to play. And when Jackie Robinson joined the Dodgers, he did take a lot of shit. But two interesting things happened:
- Most players chose to keep their jobs rather than doing anything that would jeopardize their careers, and
- In the few cases where it was a choice between Jackie Robinson or Larry Doby and some shit disturber, who do you think the team chose to keep, the Hall of Famer or the shit disturber?
Acceptance by baseball was, to be honest, a lot faster than I would have expected if you’d asked me how it would go in 1947.
People talk a lot of shit, but most of them back down when the rubber meets the road.