Tru dat, but the point isn’t whether or not you catch a politician in an actual contradiction.
The point is that if a pol wants to talk about one set of issues in the primary campaign and another in the general election, the odds that he’ll be able to leave that earlier conversation behind are much lower than they’ve ever been.
If a GOP candidate, say, is running on the economy in the fall, all those clips where he was running on God, gays, and ultrasound in the spring are still online.
And as much as he might want to have the discussion be about the economy, his Dem opponent (and other interested groups with the money to pay for ads, or perhaps get lucky with a YouTube going viral) can keep reminding voters of what the GOP candidate found so interesting just months earlier, just by playing the clips of the GOP candidate’s earlier pronouncements in his ads. He may not want to talk about ultrasound anymore, but he won’t be able to bury that conversation.
All that said, we really don’t know what changes people’s minds, or persuades them vote or stay home.
Well, we do know that requiring photo IDs to fix non-existent voter fraud problems represses turnout with those lacking a driver’s license. But Dems don’t do that sort of thing.
Interior quotes are taken from an article from the Pew Research Center.
It was a big deal only among the people who are already actively watching and commenting on the election. It probably will be lost and forgotten by November unless the Obama campaign decides to ramp up a whole new series of ads about it. And why would they? It’s meaningless now and won’t gain anything with age.