Something happened after last night’s game to double my projected chances of winning from 10% to 20% and I’m not sure what. I need 27.2 points out of Rhamondre Stevenson so 20% sounds overly optimistic and 10% sounded about right, but the strange thing is projection change occurred for no reason as far as I can tell.
Dale has a 22% chance to beat Peteys (Petey’s has a 33 point lead plus Arizona D vs Hopkins and Conner) so I guess either way would get me the #3 seed which gives me around a 37% chance overall if yahoo projections are correct - they seem a little generous.
Was he removed from the injury list?
This has been an ugly game with injuries, and it isn’t even out of the 1st yet. Tough to watch
Well, the regular season is finished. I hit the 2000 point mark, just barely. The previous high was Hamlet in 2018 with 1959.20 points in the regular season. In order to jump onto the top 20 total scores, a team has to hit at least 1812 points, so no one else qualified.
Two teams made the lowest 20 regular season scores. Omni came in 2nd lowest all time, and Gaffer is 12th. It’s pretty unfortunate that Omni didn’t secure the 1st overall pick, but that can be blamed on Justin Fields’ ascension, and I’m sure Omni doesn’t mind that.
12 ties the highest mark for wins, which Petey.v1 hit in 2014. Coincidentally, Petey.v1 also tied the fewest wins in a season with 2 in 2018 (along with furt in 2014). RNATB just missed tying that ignominious record with his win powered by Miles Sanders and Jerry Jeudy. You’re welcome.
There were years in the past where a playoff matchup with Jules would’ve been something that got me pretty excited. I can’t imagine this is the year for such a thing. I’m ready to roll over and take it up the butt, especially with losing Rhamondre and Deebo last week.
I was hoping to snatch the #3 seed so I could sneak one by Hamlet and at least make the championship rounds.
Well, you know how it’s gonna go. I’m gonna score my 115 points. If 3 or 4 people on Jules team die by halftime I’ve got a shot.
It would have taken a healthy team on its best day to take down Jules. Tis not to be this year.
Wow! The reverse jinxes are coming in hot and heavy! I’m honored and impressed. And furious
It’s patently absurd that I didn’t land the 1st overall pick. One win against Gaffer by less than 2 lousy points, a week in which my unimpressive 71 points would have been only 3rd best for the week (Justin coming in hot with a 47 that week). One win over RNATB by less than 1 point where Etienne decided to go beast mode and RNATB had Herbert on a bye. The other two wins in games where Fields and Kmet teamed up for big weeks couldn’t really be avoided. I had the lowest point output by over 100 points and 160 points below the 3rd worst. It frankly wasn’t out of reach for Jules to double me up on the season.
I will say that I’m feeling OK about the state of the rebuild. I have a QB finally, the Andrews for Etienne + Kmet trade feels like a good one, one season into it. I’ve got a stable of young RBs who can keep me in it most weeks if healthy. Next year’s pre-draft will be interesting to say the least.
Fuck me, I had no idea Browns/Ravens was a Saturday game and I thought I had until tomorrow to decide on my RBs since Stevenson’s injury status is up in the air. I probably would’ve played JK Dobbins if I knew the game was today.
Well I wasn’t expecting Josh Allen to put up 35+ in a Blizzard, which definitely pulls me closer to Jules. I really hope the Dobbins/Stevenson thing doesn’t come back to screw me and be the difference but I could totally see that.
I’m projected at 139.55 points and Jules at 141.67
The other game? Peteys 112.92 and Hamlet 101.09
If the seeding had gone the other way me and Jules would be dominating our games, instead we’ve got 2 close games.
My projection is based on Rhamondre putting up a normal non-injured 14 point projection though. That is unlikely. If he plays it probably won’t be anywhere near full capacity and if he doesn’t I have barely anything to shift onto my roster since I fucked up with JK Dobbins.
I’m not sure which of our final records is less representative. Considering I scored 42 fewer points than Beef but finished seven games behind him in the standings, it’s mine. But I also scored 60 points fewer than Ellis, and he also finished last in his division and only won two more games than me.
I got up to watch football but since neither my real team are playing and only 2 of my players have a sunday morning game I probably should’ve slept in.
Well this has been a nailbiter all day, hovering around 50/50. At one point that one AJ brown catch moved Jules from 50% to 60% but we’re back to 52/48.
I need to hope Bill Bellichick dialed up some game plan specifically designed to stop the Carr/Adams connection and that Rhamondre isn’t as hurt as he seemed. Lot riding on the raiders/pats game.
No fucking way was he inbounds. What the fuck. Overtime could sink me.
Nice work, Beef. Convincing win. It’s like David just dazed Goliath with the slingshot and then pulled out an Uzi.
Thanks. I found the right time to peak, as that was my highest score of the year. Which was the plan all along.
Someone should check on Jules