In the first place I don’t drive for 10 hours without stopping, I implied I did but I just failed word the sentence perfectly. We stop several times at rests stops, etc. What I will not do is stop at a remote rest stop for 45 minutes while my wife rocks our child to sleep. I will let her do that on the freeway, where it would take 15 minuites by the way. The risk of being mugged at the rest stop must be factored in. You people have not perspective. True, freeways are not labeled “less chance of a accident” but I does not take a genius to realize interstate freeways are much safer than county roads. And it does not take a sign to tell you that and interstate freeway with no traffic in the middle of North Dakota in the summer is safer than a freeway in downtown Houston.
IMPORTANT: The following parameter values are rough estimates by me. Feel free to update values A, B, C, D while providing cites. Then recalculate everything and see if it changes my point. I doubt it would, but if you want to convince me I am wrong that is the only way other then pointing out logical mistakes in my formulas. The following is for a 100 mile trip all families driving the same car with equal chance of and accident everywhere.
Parameters:
A=Probability of being in an accident
B=Probability of child killed if in an accident and not wearing seatbelt.
C= Probability of child killed if in an accident and is wearing seatbelt.
D= Probability of dying at home playing with parents watching.
Parameter values:
A=0.0000006666
B=0.2
C=0.8
Families:
Family W: Cancel trip and watch child at home for cancelled driving time.
Family X: Baby in seat 100% of trip time.
Family Y: Baby in seat 98% of trip time.
Family Z: Baby in seat 0% of trip time.
Risk of baby dying during driving time:
W= E = 1.0E-18
X=1 * A * B= 1.3332E-07=0.000000133
Y= (0.98) A * B + (0.02) A * C= 2.3731E-07=0.000000237
Z= 1 * A * C= 5.3328E-07=0.000000533
The “good” 100% buckling family increased their child’s risk from 1E-18 to 1.3E-7 by taking the trip. The “good” family is putting the child not at twice the risk, not three times the risk, but X/W=237 BILLION times more at risk by not canceling the trip! The family who takes the baby out for 2% of the time increases the risk from 0.000000133 to 0.000000237 or putting the baby at 1.787 times the risk of the good family. According to the safety fascists, the trip itself is apparently worth putting the baby 237 Billion times more at risk but the baby’s comfort is not worth 1.787 times more risk. I would disagree.
Anyone who thinks a Lincoln Navigator is not safer than a Geo Metro is an idiot. (This is the pit after all). For Family Z, a Navigator safety benefit would probably not outweigh their no car seat safety cost. I never said it would as some implied. I only claimed that if a family like Family X was driving a Geo Metro and Family Y was driving a Lincoln Navigator Baby Y would have less chance of dying on the trip
By the way, we hardly ever took our baby anywhere by car for the first few months of his life, never to the grocery store for example. We took him for walks in the stroller every day but cars are too dangerous for infants even in a car seat. We care deeply about his safety, but we will not be irrational about it. To suggest Family Y should not be allowed to breed is keeping with the spirit of the pit but is othwise is irrational.