Yes, he’s definitely preferable to Oz, but he’s also the only Senate Democrat who I’m really hoping gets primaried in 2028.
FWIW just had a conversation with one of my business partners (and friend) - she is of Lebanese Arab Christian descent. Pretty center Left. Wow. Her dislike of El-Sayed is intense. Her word is “scary” … Not much concern over his antisemitism and she is certainly no fan of what Israel is doing, family in Lebanon very much impacted, but very insistent that El-Sayed is anti American. So yeah you may have a point.
I just checked NOW, and the race in Mississippi is still too close to call with 96% of the votes counted. In 2026, there are still uncounted votes after 2 days?! Are they being sent via camel?
Votes can arrive by November 10th if postmarked on or before Election Day.
And note that mail-in votes tend to favor Democrats by a lot. It’s looking good for Colom, though it ain’t over until it’s over, of course. You never really know.
But yeah, late votes tend to be good for Democrats, which is what has fed into a lot of the election conspiracies and election officials “just happening to find votes” for Democrats. But if you understand how it works, it is common sense that Democrats more often get a bump toward the tail end of vote counts, as Republicans have demonized mail-in voting for years now.
Stuff like this makes it hilarious that JK Rowling put the entirety of the middle east in one wizard school and the entirety of eastern Europe in another.
There was a really interesting explanation of their process on Bluesky. Apparently when they’re counting votes, after every number they have to say “Mississippi.”
Yeah, I’m not sure what’s going on in Mississippi. The count shows that 95.6% of the ‘expected’ votes have been counted, with 44,000 still outstanding. That seems like a LOT of mail-in ballots.
You bastard
I thought exit polling was really noisy.
As @DSeid explained, the Mississippi deadline for mail-in ballots to arrive is Nov 10th = next Tuesday. Until then they can’t know how many more remain to be counted. Nor how many of those are valid nor who they are voted for.
They do know, as an absolute but loose upper bound, how many they sent out that haven’t been returned … yet. But that total includes both the valid and invalid ballots that will arrive timely, plus all the rest: every lost ballot, forgotten ballot, dog ate my ballot, misaddressed ballot, etc. And any otherwise-good ballots that were posted too late to arrive by the 10th. Or were delayed by wildcat postal worker shenanigans, bad weather, bad luck, etc. And some few that were mailed in and then the voter cast a provisional ballot in person.
I don’t think it’s happened yet but I fear that because there’s widespread public perception that polling undercounts Republican voters and the Republicans get up in arms about the media lying if the polls underestimate them, pollsters will start to deliberately err on the side of overcounting Republicans knowing that Democrats wont tear them apart as much.
BTW I haven’t seen it mentioned here but one crazy polling story this cycle - a poll came out during the Michigan primary campaign that showec Malllory McMorrow in the single digits (she’d been struggling against El-Sayed and Stevens in the teens at that point) and in short succession donors dropped their support for her and she suspended her campaign. It was later revealed that the poll was deliberately fabricated as a social experiment to see if polling aggregators properly vet the polls. So I guess they proved the answer is no but they also ended McMorrow’s whole career in the process.
Correction. It was later revealed as a deliberate partisan ratfuckery that was proven to work.
And hence will be seen again in future campaigns coast to coast. I also see the competitive pressure on polling aggregators to not “waste” time on vetting their sources will ensure this trick keeps working election after election.
That story was absolutely nuts. I don’t understand how something like that isn’t illegal.
SoCal Startegies is another apparently fake poll company - they disappeared completely after 50501 started investigating them, deleting literally their entire online presence.
Right. And the SoCal Strategies company appears to be connected to them as well.
I wouldn’t be surprised if many of these fake polls were funded by foreign powers, either.
No actual “Democrats” ran this year, just a pro-Dem Indy, which is why I think we lost NE.
54, with two possibles.
And MS is looking better today, 466,226 Dem vs 464,502 R. In AK Pelota only has a 600 or so vote lead.
Bankhead was the actual Dem candidate the voters picked in the Primary. Bodnar was the “spoiler”.
Right.
Well, it is a kids’ franchise so you don’t want to muddle things by making them too detailed. It’s better than Captain Planet where the bad guys were trashing the environment for no more reason than they could.
As people have said (and has been mentioned numerous times in previous posts) the law allows for ten days for mail to arrive. Not camels of course but the regular US Post Office which we all know is underfunded. Have you ever had mail arrive late? Wouldn’t you want your vote counted if it was late through no fault of your own?
In addition (also mentioned in previous posts), they need to verify provisional ballots with issues like bad signatures or address problems or whatever. This is a manual process that takes a lot of time. Don’t you think care should be taken to make sure those votes are counted? There is something like this in every other state. This isn’t a Mississippi thing. The other states this time weren’t close so those extra ballots didn’t make a difference in determining the winner (but they are still counting them).
In 2016 it took almost a week to find out who won in Georgia for President for the same reason and Georgia was the State that was the tipping point that gave it to Biden.
You mean 2020?
Yes. Thank you. My Mistake.
Bodnar had three times as many votes as Bankhead. Hard to parse that as being a spoiler.