So it seems the claim that the Oscars are snubbing black people is false

[CarnalK]

@lance_strongarm

Possibly. But you need to actually do the math first by comparing them to the total pool of contenders and then comparing that to whites in the same way.

From the parallel thread in Cafe Society:

@OldGuy

Accepting 13% of the population being black (as cited above), then having zero of 20 nominees being black has a probability of 6.2% only slightly less than the 7.1% chance of having 5 or more black nominees as occurred in 2004 and 2006. (Zero happened 3 times out of 15 according to Robert163’s post.)

And it seems to me the math should be done for both sides of the argument.