I opened a thread on this subject just over a year ago. It sparked an interesting debate… Chronos and Dex were really into it for a while.
Then it died, because no one could answer my question.
I would like to bring it up again; lots and lots of smart people have signed up since then and maybe someone new can help us out.
I play solitaire (basic “klondike” game) on my Palm Pilot. It tracks statistics, and, a year ago, I was [sup]22[/sup]/[sub]154[/sub] for a winning percentage of 13%. I remarked then that my percentage had never dropped below 12% or gone above 15%.
My record is now [sup]67[/sup]/[sub]432[/sub], or 15%. Again, in the entire year that has passed, I’ve never dropped below 12 or 13% and never risen above a brief stop at 17%.
I don’t spend a lot of time thinking about my game, I just play. I use a straightforward and consistent strategy. I believe that the games I do not win are simply un-winnable.
What I want to know is:
Given 52! possible combinations of cards in a shuffled deck, might it be true that only 15% or so of all possible games are winnable?
In other words… is my score a measure of my skill, or is it… in the cards?