Take a guess at when you will end up being vaccinated

[Riemann]

Just cross posting from the other thread. If somebody could check if I’ve done the calculation right, I estimate that everyone in the U.S. who wants to be vaccinated should be done by about July.

CDC says 1 million vaccinations given in 10 days. Is that possible?

Better than I expected, if I’ve done the numbers right. According to that graph, the U.S. is now vaccinating 0.2% of the population per day. Given the starting problems with the infrastructure, I think it’s conservative to assume that we will increase that to 0.5% per day. But we need two shots, so let’s assume 0.25% per day over the next few months. 24% of the population is under 18, and let’s assume that another 26% will reject vaccination, so half the population want to be vaccinated. …