Texas, Ohio, Rhode Island and Vermont - March 4th, 2008

Ohio apparently stopped reporting results until the late closing polls closed. Two minutes ago.

So why do you blame the discrepancy on the polls?

What’s the Clinton phone ad?

Edit: wait, do you mean the 3 AM thing? I thought there was some kind of ad-by-phone thing I hadn’t heard about. I thought the 3 AM thing only ran in Texas… and I don’t know what it has to do with race.

It’s had a less-than-stellar record this year. For instance, the early exits on Super Tuesday showed that Obama was doing far better in the states Hillary won than he actually did.

There’s also the question of what exit polls you’re talking about. Once the networks have actual results in hand, they normalize the exit polls to the results, and at that point they’re pretty damned accurate.

In years before 2004, I never remember hearing about early exits, just the adjusted kind.

HILLARY WINS RHODE ISLAND!!!
This changes everything folks,

But did she also take the Providence Plantations?

I just returned from our caucus. There were three precincts voting and I estimated about 300-350 people came, approximately equally divided. It was a sign in sheet and they only brought about three pages for each precinct. Each page had about 20 sign in slots, so we were immediately short of paper. One precinct sent someone out for copies. Ours found some spare paper to use for sign in sheets. I don’t know what the third group did.

It was messy and disorganized feeling, and I did not wait for the counts to be announced. It appeared to be equally divided between Clinton and Obama. Perhaps Obama had a slight lead.

I’m in Columbus Ohio and believe me, the majority of this state needs an ass-kicking. I noticed on CNN they don’t show any returns for Columbus yet. Hillary may win the state but if Obama doesn’t take Columbus I say we dust off and nuke the entire state from orbit.

I guess she will win Rhode Island and Ohio. Then she will declare this evening a draw. That means that Obama’s winning streak is officially over and he has peaked. Inevitability restored!

It’s a victory for relentless negative campaigning and leaking “Muslim Obama” pictures to Matt Drudge. She ought to be proud.

It’s the only way to be sure.

CNN now showing Franklin County (Columbus and surrounding area) results with 5% reporting 58/40 for Obama.

It’s not even an accusation. It’s an insinuation. It’s like someone had said, “It has been the hallmark of the Democratic party to protect the rights of all Americans. If the Obama campaign disagrees with that principle, they should say so today.” If you read it carefully, you realize they’d didn’t actually make any accusation. They just linked “protect the rights of all Americans” and “the Obama campaign disagrees with that principle” as closely as possible in succession and hope that listeners will remember them together. It’s like how Bush used to always mention Al Qaeda and Saddam Hussein in the same sentence.

Ugh. If Clinton’s lead in Ohio holds, superdelegates would be right to consider backing her.

Let’s face it, Ohio simply means more than most other states. Florida too. And if Clinton is proven more popular in those states…

While I’d like to see Obama win Ohio outright, I pretty much *need *to see him not get his ass kicked.

He won’t Major cities aren’t even in yet. Chill.

Much of this is due to being able to pick which party’s primary you will vote in as you show up to the polling place. Many republicans are casting their vote for (or against) a Dem candidate.

God, McCain is a soporific speaker. The content was all bullshit too. A laundry list of pro-corporate, status quo bullshit along with a generous helping of fear mongering.

What is that “fight” bullshit about? Fight against what?

WTF? A 1-hour commute through some of the most murderous traffic, and THIS is what I come home to?

<deep breath>

<another deep breath>

OK, somebody hand me a paper bag…

7:30PST

HRC is clobbering Obama in Ohio (and RI) nearly 60/40. Ohio is very meaningful. Important state.

It’s very very close in Texas, Obama has a tiny lead. Nearly a tie. IMHO- the Delegates will be split nearly 50/50, both can claim a victory.

Obama has Vermont in the bag.

The race is still on!

McCain has it sewed up.

You haven’t been paying attention to the counties that have reported vs those that haven’t yet, have you?

Cuyahoga county, which includes Cleveland, and Hamilton county which includes Cincinnati, haven’t started reporting results yet. Obama is expected to do well in the metropolitan areas, which will inevitably narrow her lead. Remember Missouri, which looked like it was heavily in favor of Hillary. . . until they counted Kansas City and St. Louis. I wouldn’t be counting any chickens if I were you.

Same thing in Texas. Dallas, Fort Worth, Austin and Houston have very few precincts reporting so far. And in those areas he’s “clobbering” her 60/40. And let’s not forget the caucuses, as well.

This night is far from over.