You can go to the 2/18 Gallup poll itself to see the breakout to make a bit more apples to apples.
In that Gallup poll before Yang’s campaign it was 65% favorable/35% unfavorable among Democrats and 48%/52% among Independents.
The current Emerson 53% favorable number is just likely Iowa Democratic caucus goers.
Still different varieties of apples but more consistent with a LOSS of support for the idea since Yang than an increase.
Looking at the Hill/HarrisX September poll among Democrats it was 66% favorable and Independents ran 48% Favorable - up from their 2/19 poll, less than the newest Emerson results, and on par with Gallups 2/18 numbers.
It would be a bit insane to look at the Emerson number and claim that he’s moved the needle an insane amount on this.
Bloomberg is ahead of him now too so that’s 5. But even if they all drop out, I assume people will start liking Klobuchar rather than decide Yang isn’t ridiculous.
Some fun stuff going on in the Andrew Yang campaign. Dave Chappelle phone banking for Andrew Yang, ends the call with “Wu Tang”.
Dave Chappelle explaining why he’s endorsing Andrew Yang. Dave Chappelle read Yang’s book that he got from a neighbor. Chappelle says that UBi would help so many people in his community in Dayton, OH. Chappelle did an event in Iowa and will be doing two more in South Carolina to benefit Yang.
I agree that a lot of the best new ideas seem to be coming from this one guy but here is the main problem I have with his UBI. UBI solves the problem of automation making human labor redundant but right now and for the forseeable future, employment rates are going to be very low. Why fix a problem we don’t have yet? It’s like moving everyone out of coastal cities today because we think that global warming is going to put those cities under water.
Does the replacing food stamps with UBI solve any of today’s problems?
The article says that the layoffs were planned before Iowa and that Yang will “keep fighting”.
The rest of the article talks about how the staff they started with had no political experience and when the politically experienced were brought on, there was sometimes a clash of culture. That makes sense. You can see it in the strategies, the traditional methods versus the unconventional methods.
Why would you wonder if the money is drying up? In your January 2020 thread, Yang’s donations are higher than ever. That said, their expense run rate is more than they’re taking in. Winding down Iowa operations makes sense right now.
The reason I wondered if the money was drying up was that campaigns look at their money coming in every day. And, Yang has been crowded out completely with the recent political news and a Friday night debate isn’t exactly going to help. Every campaign winds down Iowa, but the staff gets transferred to new areas.
I imagine Yang and Steyer will be basically ignored for the Friday debate and it’ll be the last debate for both.
I expect this time next week he will be out of the race. It’s all fun and games with your cool persona, online gang and niche candidacy in the months leading up but once voting begins it quickly gets old. Caucuses are better for him because the loudest and passionate supporters can mobilize and make the case for him but I expect him to really struggle in a primary.
It’s only been 2 days since Iowa. Hopefully, no one is making decisions based on 2 days of data.
Meanwhile, Yang did a CNN town hall in NH that is getting good reviews. I saw a nice review from the panel at CNN with one guy saying that Yang won the night of CNN town halls.
John Leguizamo was on Colbert talking about why he’s endorsing Yang.
Ken Jeong is also doing a fundraiser for Yang shortly.
As for the debate, Yang always gets very little coverage. But he always gets Google searches and gets at least $1M in donations after each debate.
As I was looking through my twitter to find the CNN video, I found this other article by Politico on Elizabeth Warren’s campaign. Maybe it’s just Politico’s day to go on a rampage about the campaigns. These people left since November. It seems a little blown out of proportion.
I was thinking that too, but the last stat I saw, 7K went in for Yang, only about 1-2K came out for Yang because he wasn’t viable. If it was straight voting, the people going in would have voted for Yang.
Are you going to defend “These actions are a natural evolution of the campaign post-Iowa, same as other campaigns have undertaken” from.the campaign manager? And do you buy that the national and policy directors weren’t “senior” staffers?
Per Open Secrets he has only $3.7 million cash on hand left. Even Klobuchar has more than that. The race gets much more expensive as Super Tuesday approaches.
FEC reports say that Yang had cash on hand of $3.7M on 12/31/19. Open Secrets has the exact same number, so it’s probably from the FEC report. 538 has the same number for fiscal 2019.
If that’s the case, the $3.7M doesn’t include the $6.7M from January 2020 or the expenses for January 2020.
