It was solicited earlier on, and other have done it, so I’ll give my reasoning on who I’ll vote for.
Basically, unless I find a stellar independent candidate (unlikely), my vote will be for the Conservatives, Liberals, NDP, or some minor party. Most of the minor parties are pretty flaky, in my eye, some of them downright silly , one or two just scary. the most important of them, the Greens, haven’t won my confidence yet. Their pre-election website was full of bizarre, vaguely philosophical rhetoric (and some policies I liked to varying extents).
The Conservatives: Harper doesn’t strike me as genuine, or honest. He strikes me as a very socially-conservatice economist pretending to be socially moderate to get votes in the East. He was the chief policy architect for Preston Manning’s Reform Party, leader of the Canadian Alliance, and president of the National Citizens Coalition (a right-wing lobby group). He’s the guy who decided his party needed a “family values critic” in response to a nonexistent government portfolio, then promoted Larry “Jail the Fags” Spencer to that position. He’s an economist, too. This isn’t necessarily bad, but with the way he talks about taxes, I wonder if he figures that the role of government is to serve the economy and the corporations that drive it, rather than the people. (This last is food for a full debate on its own, I’m sure.) I don’t know where he’s going to get the money for some of the expenditures he’s promising, while cutting taxes big-time. And his habit of ending speeches with “God Bless Canada” in the Texan style is just creepy to me. Their recently-released plan for the military isn’t too bad.
The Liberals: Policies are vague. Action is limited. Corruption… exists to a significant extent. So does inefficiency. Martin’s ppolitically clever, but autocratic, in a disguised, grassroots-rebellion, parachute-my-own-candidates-into-ridings-with-popular-local-runners way. And he hasn’t doen much, hasn’t taken many stands… though he’s given out a lot of moeny in the election run-up. Are they different Liberals than the ones that brought the scandals? Well, half-and-half. Chretien’s cronies are out, but a lot of the old crew remain. Will they do anything of substance? Beats me.
The NDP: Policies are surprisingly specific on some issues… cities, environment, health, etc. They don’t address some other issues (like the military) but their pre-election site covered all sorts of things. I really like the Green Transportation Strategy, and I want a real deal for cities. Cutting taxes for the poor is good, raising them for the rich… maybe. I figure a small increase, especially if it’s for things like inheritance over a million dollars, won’t be too bad. Taxing corporations more is economically questionable, but I’m all for it if it’s done in a Green-Partyesque “Tax bads, not goods” way. (Well, actually, a mix of that and the current is probably best.) Jack Layton is a walking ad machine. He was, however, president of the Federation of Canadian Municipalities, and a university professor, and a city councillor for a couple of decades.
Pierre Trudeau once said that we shouldn’t pay attention to what the leaders promise, because some unforseen crisis may derail their agenda. Rather, we should look at their charaters, and how they respond to crises.
In Stephen Harper, I think I see a deceitful man who’s trying to take power by pretending to be moderate when he’s very conservative. I see a weasel in a nice-guy costume waiting to be PM so he can implement social policies I’m afraid of, and economic policies that I’m not sure of just yet. In Paul Martin, I see a wishy-washy businessman, who’s good with money but short on vision. In Jack Layton, I see a man who knows how to get attention (for good or for bad) as leader of an almost-forgotten party , and who actually has experience in government, despite the stigma the NDP has long had. While I’m not completely confident he’s totally who I want in the PMO, I’m way more comfortable with him than Harper. And I like his resume a lot better.
Gay marriage isn’t, for me, the most important issue. ( The courts have mroe or less dealt with it anyway, though it should really be cleaned up. ) But I use it as sort of a yardstick. How do leaders react to it?
Stephen Harper railed about how the Liberals had changed their mind between that old motion defending hte traditional definition, and their decision a year ago not to appeal the court decisions favouring gay marriage. He gave no argument, though, against the idea of gay marriage itself. Similarly, his party website tries to be vague, and says they support the idea that parliament should decide.
Paul Martin waffled before deciding he’d go along with it, then amended the submission Chretien’s cabinet had sent to the supreme court, basically asking if he’d found a way out of it. He confessed his reasons: that he was a devout Catholic with strong beliefs, but that he felt a duty to follow the Charter.
Jack Layton marched in a gay pride parade, and his party says they’d introduce equal-marriage legislation. The reasoning given: “Gay Rights are Human Rights”.
My conclusions: With Martin you get waffly indecision and attempts to please both sides, with Harper you get social conservatism disguised as defence of institutions (parliament and marriage), without any reasoning, and with Layton you get equality for all, popular or not. Agreed, this isn’t a complete sample of how the leaders work, but the way they react to this particular “crisis” issue, which is highly controversial for at least some part of the population (gays and some religious groups), I think gives one an idea what we can expect from the leaders.
So, while I’m not a card-carrying member of any party, and find myself agreeing with some policies of all the parties mentioned, it’s likely I’ll vote NDP, though I’m not certain yet. I don’t like Harper and didn’t like the Alliance (which forms the bulk of the shadily-assembled Conservative party), I’m not too keen on the Liberals, and I find the NDP to be pretty good, with some potential gaps on some issues I think are important. In the past, I’ve voted Liberal, but considered voting PC or NDP.