Since there is no clear successor chosen , what direction will the tibetan movement take , in the event of his sudden death ?
Since lot of the young tibetans are radical ( as evidenced from the demonstrations in India and other places during olympic torch relay and visit of chinese officials ), do you think tibetan movement will take a violent turn ?
I’ll assume you know that successors aren’t chosen, the lama is reincarnated and the correct child is found some time down the road. It would completely depend on those who train/raise him on how things will proceed from there, but i’m pretty sure it’s not young radicals who will be doing the training. Let’s just hope the Tibetans learned from the Panchen Lama incident where the reincarnated child was “taken into custody” by the Chinese and hasn’t really been heard from since (IIRC).
Just to clarify: The Panchen Lama is not the reincarnated Dalai Lama. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Panchen_Lama
He is the second highest ranking Lama. He is supposed to be training under the current Dalai Lama now so that when the DL dies and is reincarnated, the Panchen Lama can supervise his upbringing and education. As purple cow says, this is a little difficult since the Chinese kidnapped him years ago.
I am not a Buddhist, nor do I play one on TV.
A friend of mine who does practice Buddhism says that the DL was quoted as having said something to the effect of “Maybe I won’t reincarnate at all. Or will reincarnate outside of Tibet, or as a woman.”
He’s said at times he *may *not reincarnate. As the human incarnation of Chenrensig (sp?) and a bodhisatva (one who has reached enlightenment but chose to return to the cycle of life-death-human incarnation in order to show others the path) the DL absolutely should be able to reincarnate and/or go or to nirvana depending on what he wishes. Should the big guy decide to reincarnate, one would think he would do so outside of Tibet and the Chinese sphere of control. He wouldn’t be the first incarnate lama to do so.
FYI. there are about 1,000 “recognized” incarnations or tulkus in Tibetan buddhism and bonpoism. I’ve met a half dozen and all have been quite remarkable people.