My expectation is that the result of the inquiry will be that, effectively, the FBI crew didn’t give a damn about Clinton one way or another and viewed the whole investigation as a waste of their time. Fundamentally, to the extent that the email server was a security issue, as the government workers have noted, it would generally be treated as a firing offense - which becomes moot when the person that you’re investigating has already left the government. The most they could ever really do was, as evidenced by Comey’s early letter on the subject, is give a speech denouncing how horrible she was for not following established protocol…but ultimately not criminal.
But ultimately, I think the investigation is interesting for two reasons:
- It’s not actually an investigation of the Clintons. It’s an investigation of the FBI and whether it has been behaving in a partisan manner. And while that doesn’t feel like it’s going to prove to be a major concern, it’s a subject worth paying attention to.
- Given that it’s the counter-argument to the Russia investigation, there would be a strong impulse for anyone who hates Trump to simply ignore and deny any wrong-doing on the part of the FBI, if there was some. I don’t think that’s a reasonable response. As I’ve noted in many threads, you don’t have to pick sides in a argument. Both sides can be good, both sides can be bad, things can be complicated, and sometimes it’s all just down to bad luck all around. Regardless of what my expectation would be for this investigation, I’d rather keep an open mind about it than bury my head in the sand.
And I do think that there are two things about the case that make me doubt my theory that the FBI simply didn’t want to get involved in the Clinton investigation, that they never considered it a real case, and that, that’s most of what this is about.
Firstly, at least Strzok and Page do seem to have been toning it down because of concern of angering their future boss-to-be.
And secondly is that Comey does seem to have put his top people on the Clinton case. Strzok was called into Mueller’s team, presumably for being a power hitter, and I believe I read that he was the head of all things Russia, so not small fry. And, as the new McCabe information shows, he seems to have been pretty integral to the Clinton investigation as well, apparently having Weiner’s laptop in his possession.
The FBI has some 34,000 employees and one would think that the #2 of the FBI would be mostly employed in the task of overseeing resources, reading spreadsheets, and decidering, not personally running an investigation - let alone a turd investigation foisted on them by one political party trying to smear the other. That seems like the sort of thing that you assign to interns.
So I’m curious what the reason was that the very top levels of the FBI felt the need to get personally involved.