For the first part, given how in many states the rural areas have been gerrymandered to have a commanding lead in representation despite the population, the long term is so long term as to be a minor issue at most. Again, take Texas (please, I’m begging you, take it anywhere else!).
And while I’m not quite as doom-gloom as some on how Democrats are missing out on some of the multi-generational Latino families and other minorities, they’re absolutely not as monolithic as the best case scenario would make them out to be. Similar issues for other minorities that are often associated with the Democratic ticket.
And really, all it takes is the MAGA team being sufficiently obstructionist for long enough to discredit the (D) team, or for the (D) team to have major ruptures that are intrinsic to a big tent (see Israel as a hot current example) and they can take advantage to grab those dissatisfied with gridlock with the (false) promise that they’ll fix things AGAIN.
As for the second piece, oh god yes. Just the Republican/MAGA fuckery with the SCOTUS will be literal generations in the fixing.
Yes, MAGA has some serious demographic problems ahead. The next generations are voting leftier than any of the existing ones did at the same age according to Pew’s research over the last five or six decades and there’s a good chance that those voting patterns will remain as consistent as it has for older voters.
Having said that, I believe ParallelLines makes some good points above about the difficulties of holding the big coalition together. MAGA will have openings for inroads but so far they have been their own worst enemies.
For MAGA, '24 may be that moment in Pickett’s Charge when the heavily damaged Confederate brigades actually reach the line of guns on Cemetery Ridge.
This I agree with 100%. And I’m desperately praying that they’ll continue to gut themselves especially once His Orangeness has gone on to to gibbering senility and/or the Great Beyond.
I love how the Washington Post generously characterizes her chances of success as “in doubt.” That’s like saying the Generals beating the Harlem Globetrotters is “in doubt.”
On the other hand, since she doesn’t feel shame and benefits from being able to spin as someone ready to fight, what does she have to lose? People dislike her that much more?
Her district is overwhelmingly Republican – much more so than Boebert’s former district – so she’s unlikely to lose a general election. But as Madison Cawthorn learned, if fuck with the party establishment enough, they can fuck you back.
It’s amusing to hear Green say she wants to call the votes and force Democrats to have to go their primaries having supported a Republican Christian for the speaker position. She says it like this supporting Johnson is going to hurt any of the Democrats. Oh, MTG also things it’s a great way to show people who in the House supports the Uniparty.
The general election isn’t the problem. It’s the primary election. Whether she stays in or leaves her current district, she’s going to face at least one challenger, who will run on a “Loser Greene lost a major fight that she started, and it hurt us all!” platform, with a side order of “Carpetbagger” thrown in if it’s in a new district. The MAGAs hate losers, so I think this is going to cost her. Every failure from now to the election will be laid at her feet, “She made us look weak! She emboldened the Democrats!”
