I think some of you are confused. THE ORIGINAL POST asks about populations within CITY LIMITS. I see some of you are mentioning cities having 1,000,000 when in fact their METROPOLITAN areas have 1,000,000 populations within their GENERAL VICINITY.
Under those criteria, I believe 30 or so cities would have “populations” of 1,000,000 or more, including Buffalo and Oklahoma City!
As of the revised 4/1/1990 census, ONLY New York, Chicago, Los Angeles, Houston, Philadelphia, San Diego, Dallas AND Detroit had populations of 1,000,000 or more in their CITY PROPER.
Phoenix and San Antonio as of 1996 were estimated to have 1,000,000 people, but this will NOT be official until the 2000 census.
As of 1996, San Jose had an “estimated” population of 838,744.
I think it is a safe bet that Phoenix and San Antone will be made official million people cities in 2000, and San Jose is a 40-60 lock for the Club in 2010 as long as the “Big One” doesn’t sink that city into San Francisco Bay! Keep in mind that San Jose is only growing about 10,000 a year, so it might miss by a few thousand and all you gold miners out there might have to wait until 2020! That would certainly suck ass.
1996 estimates have Columbus at near 700,000 but its growth rate is too sluggish to make 1 million in 20 years.
El Paso was at 515,000 in 1990 and estimated to be 600,000 in 1996. That is a pretty good growth rate, and with Mexican immigration, this could grow even faster. El Paso might be poised to hit the mark in 2020.
Las Vegas is growning at a phenomenal rate of 20,000 new residents a year, but is at only 400,000 now, so it would be very hard to reach the million mark any time soon.
Austin is growing by about 10,000 a year, and is at 541,000 estimated in 1996. Still way too small to hit withing 20 years.
The only other cities to look hitting the mark withing the next 50 years would be . .
The cities that have the best chance are the sun-belt cities since in 2010 or so many babyboomers will be retirng to mobile home parks there.
The other thing that makes this all hard to predict is governmental and societal changes that could chamge community structure over the next twenty years. Cities will either get bigger, or become obsolete.