One notes that if you look at the comments under the transcript published on Fox, the Republican readers generally view it as being completely acceptable and above-board, from their take. And, I would say, if you read it from a position of ignorance that may seem like a reasonable take.
Trump says that the prosecutor who was removed by Biden was a good man. Trump is the President and Trump tells the truth, ergo Biden removed a good man from the government of Ukraine. The Ukrainian President does not object to this statement nor contradict it in any way.
Trump never mentions corruption, but Zelensky does open with “drain the swamp”. I find that a little questionable - knowing that the “transcript” is a creation put together by Trump’s legal and PR team. But that does give an opening to say that Trump and Zelensky were all primed to talk about corruption. (Though, Trump leads off with Crowdstrike and, based on the ellipses, likely blathered about it for enough time as to be distracting and come across like a clear loon.)
And, of course, to the Trump voter, Trump has said that Biden is corrupt and evil and Trump is the President and an honest person. Thus, Biden is corrupt and evil, and it’s the job of the President to track down and stop evil people.
The assumption that the 40% of the population who support Trump are living in the real world and can be convinced by reasonable arguments is silly. If the Republicans in Congress all act like this is above-board and the President is saying that it is above board, then the people will buy it. There will be no stop for a sanity check in the brain between ear and voting-finger.
You need to hit Trump with everything, from Epstein, to Trump Foundation, to Trump University, to the Otaiba emails, to Mamadov, Elliott Broidy’s bribery conviction, George Nader’s pedophilia conviction, and so on. You need to make the dude look as scummy as he is or you’re not going to get anywhere - so long as you have actual, decent evidence from reputable people on those topics, FBI agents, CIA agents, ex-military, and Republicans. It should be an all-Republican witness stand. Lead with Peter Strzok and ask him who he was supporting in the 2016 primaries. Layer the Republican-ness and military background of every single person who says anything out and then use real live testimony from those people to trash the guy on every single angle that you can cram in that checks the boxes.
Anything less than that and they’ll break loose. You’re not going to win this on a single thing. Any one thing can be escaped. You need to paint the whole picture and introduce doubt in the minds of those watching before even getting to Ukraine. That should be the last 2% of the case. You need to set the scene. Whether any of Trump’s other activities are one of the official articles of impeachment or not, you need to contend with the immense wall of ignorance that surrounds Trump’s supporters and that the Republicans are desperately trying to keep in place. They will tell you that cat is spelled “d-o-g” if that’s what it takes to keep the wall up. You need to make them feel such intense disgust in themselves that they break. If they can maintain the act, the people will assume that there must be something that they’re missing, but they’ll trust their Republican representatives as knowing more than them.
If you can’t break that, it will be a constitutional crisis and you might as well set the thing on fire…but that’s already where we’re at.
In the movie Grave of the Fireflies, there is a scene where our protagonist learns that the Japanese were never going to win WWII and that the radio reports saying that everything were going wonderful and that the country was steadily getting their foes to give in and run away had all been falsehoods. He’s been suffering for years, starving, and all thinking that while hard at least it was a necessary part of the war effort that they were winning and that it would bring, eventually, great riches to the land. …And none of that was true. It was just falsehoods, knowingly spread by the government to deceive the people and keep them from rebelling.
That sort of shock is what the Democrats have to impart. It is not, “Yes, Donald Trump scribbles outside of the lines in order to win.” His voters know that and they like that. Trump is a marvelous bastard and that’s commendable. If that’s the pitch, it will not sell.
You need to go beyond that. You need the FBI history of investigations into Donald Trump and his businesses, from before he was President.