BobLibDem, November 4th, 2014:
McConnell faced Democratic Alison Grimes, the Kentucky Secretary of State, in the general election. He won 56% to 41%, an over 15 percentage points victory and his second-largest margin of victory for any of his senate races. In other words, it wasn’t even close.
Also for 2014:
You predicted Colorado incumbent Democratic Senator Mark Udall to beat Republican then-Congressman Cory Gardner. Gardner beat incumbent Udall.
You predicted Iowa Democrats would retain Tom Harkin’s seat. Democrat Bruce Braley, the Congressman for Iowa’s 1st Congressional District, lost to Republican State Senator Joni Ernst.
In Georgia, you predicted a Democratic Senate win, but what happened was that David Perdue, a Republican with no prior elected office to his name, beat Michelle Nunn, a Democrat with no prior elected office to her name (except than Sam Nunn is her father).
If I recall correctly, the only one you got right in that thread was Michigan Democratic Congressman Gary Peters winning the Senate seat against Republican Terri Land.
Is there any failure point at which you’d say to yourself, “Perhaps my predictive powers are not as keen as I’d thought they were?” Or does the litany of incorrect predictions simply not bother you at all?