OK. I had a good conversation with my brother, the 1st LT. in the U.S. Army.
Two weekends ago he showed me home video of a AT-4 rocket hitting a M-60 tank in the treads. The AT-4 is used against things like personnel carriers. The M-60 is old enough that none of the U.S. military uses it any more, so it was just a dead target to learn on. The tread not only didn’t come off, the wheels didn’t even look bad.
So, if you put up a current U.S. tank against a vastly inferior (Civil War) army, he says you have some things to think about:
There are 4 crew. Each has an M-16 - 211 rounds each, a 9mm pistol - 40 rounds. There is a .50 cal heavy machine gun - about 500 rounds - firing with the turret, and controlled by an unexposed crew member. There is a 7.64 mm medium machine gun - 800 to 1200 rounds, firing by standing exposed in the hatch. The main battle gun has 36 rounds, 120mm - some depleted uranium, some explosive. (He says that the uranium rounds were too effective against the old Russian tanks in Iraq, and the rounds were punching right through the far side without making a big splash of molten metal inside the tank. The Coalition crews went back to explosive rounds.)
So, this is armed to the teeth. BUT:
After the 2700 rounds of smaller ammunition are fired, this thing is really in a bad way. He says that there is home video of American crews fighting in close in Iraq from the hatches and doing very well, so we can assume they would kick major butt against muskets, but there is the ammunition problem. So they might cause about 1000 casualties or even more without the main battle gun. (It could probably be refueled with kerosene available even then.)
Without good infantry support, it eventually will be close to dead. Eventually there will come a time when the Civil War era soldiers will be able to get close to the tank. They are not idiots, and will soon hit upon ideas like he says have actually been used against American tanks.
He says that Bosnians managed to wedge rocks and pipes in the treads and keep the tank from moving or at least turning. With enough axes and men, you can eventually break the hinges on the hatches. Probably even faster, you can hack through the protective plate and fins around the engine in the back. Eventually you will reach wires and hydraulic lines. Break enough of those, and something critical will shut down. I assume that at this point the crew would surrender.
I guess the question is, “How many tanks would it take to scare the opposing army into general rout and surrender?”