In places where real estate is going up, is that detached homes? Are condos going up too? What about apartment rents?
I think a lot of resl estate demand is coming from people abandoning dense urban apartment living and trying to find larger homes. Quarantining in an apartment sucks. Not being able to store a lot of food during a pandemic, forcing you to go out shopping more, sucks. Living in a building where you are forced to ride elevators and navigate shared spaces just to get food, also sucks.
And if you are a couple and both are working and eating at home, that little apartment that used to be fine when you spent most of your time outside of it now feels really small.
Add to that the closure of the restaurants and bars and museums and nightlife that are the attraction of downtown living, and sitting in that little apartmentbstarts to feel pretty dismal. Places like Manhattan, where people live in really small, really expensive apartments but routinely eat their meals out and live there because of the now-closed amenities, are being hit hardest.
Pandemic aside, we are still living in the mother of all asset bubbles. And people are flush with cash, and inflation worries are ticking up. Hard durable assets are a hedge against inflation. Real estate especially.
Finally, Florida and Texas in particular are seeing not just those effects, but a large influx of new residents fleeing the increasingly intolerable big cities in California, New York, etc.
In 2020, annual rental prices dropped by more than 20% in Seattle, Los Angeles, San Fransisco, Oakland, New York City, Boston, and Washington DC. I imagine demand was down so much because people are choosing to live elsewhere (rents were up in many small cities), or because they are choosing to buy houses instead of renting apartments.
When you can work from home, why live in an expensive apartment close to work when you can sprawl out in a big home in a small city for the same money without losing your job?
Rents are now stabilizing or even going up again in some of these places, probably because vaccinations being available has given people hope for a return to normalcy soon.
If I didn’t have a house I’d be looking to buy one. As it is, we are thinking of buying another property in a smaller city partly as a hedge against inflation, and partly as a hedge against the new urbanist insanity our city council is following, which promises to wreck the quality of life here.
Speakng of that… One other reason people are fleeing the icity cores for the burbs or smaller cities are the insane policies of some cities which are chasing out the middle class.