Trump could win the election in a nowcast by FiveThirtyEight

https://twitter.com/SamWangPhD/status/784852170738896896

“In five key races that determine whether Democrats retake the Senate, they are running women: NV, PA, NH, NC, PA. So yes, it’s here.”

(“It” referring to “year of the woman” question asked of Sam Wang)

Tic tacs are the second candy company to have to distance themselves from Trump. I haven’t looked it up, but that’s probably a first.

Wait. Trump literally grabs unsuspecting women by the pussy? Why isn’t he in jail? Can you grab a pussy? My wife’s doesn’t have a handle.

Well, neither do bowling balls.

So he says.

He’s rich and pays off witnesses, most likely.

Glad you’re willing to talk about your wife’s pussy here. Is she glad?

What I don’t get is why the NowCast is slightly, albeit very slightly, more favourable to Trump than it was this morning, even though it’s apparently been updated every few hours. Iowa, for example, shows a small upturn of support for him.

I had anticipated a fairly significant downturn reflected for him by now.

Polls take a bit of time to conduct. Most of them last several days, so a news event that occurred the last day of the poll will not be reflected by said poll. Hillary got a huge swing after the first debate, but it wasn’t really apparently in the polls for 3-4 more days. We’d need at least that much time to see the effects of the “hot mike” video, which is going to get conflated with the debate just two days later.

You just can’t find it, is all.

It’s an anonymous forum. Why would she care and how would she know? I don’t need her permission to write about things that can never embarrass her.

That’s what he told Billy Bush. His own words. Maybe he was lying, but he was certainly bragging that’s something he did.

Lots of money and non-disclosure agreements, most likely.

I can, yes, and have many times. My partners consented to it in advance.

Why would you need a handle to grab something? You seriously have never put your hand on your wife’s pussy? She must be pretty frustrated.

Some random young woman versus a famous billionaire. That would go well. Either she’s lying or she consented, after all she probably had some sort of business relationship with him already and she is only complaining because she got dumped and she wants some of his money.
Or do you think Trump is too moral to make any of these charges?
This stuff has been out there already, but no one believed them until Trump more or less confessed on tape.

In Soviet Union, pussy grab you!
sorry

Well sort of like the dice thread you all know I like empiricism. So after this “scandal” made the news I knew it was time for an experiment. Most I could get before it looked like I was pressing my luck was a tug of labia. You can’t just latch on like a dog with a chew toy.

I don’t know how women put up with men.

Yeah, Trump’s a problem. No doubt about it at this point. He’s not the biggest problem though.

HAHAHAHA!! Stealing this!

Is Trumpy Wumpy Chanelling Andrew Dice Clay? That’s who it seems
Like I’m Listening to, and there’s still plenty of Ford Fairlaine fans…

Reminds me of this Amy Schumer routine (starting about 0:30). NSFW, obviously.

Arizona is now 50-50 in the PO forecast.

But more importantly: NH just went over 80% for Hillary in PO, which means she now has 273 EVs from states that are 80% for her or higher. I breathe a little easier every day.

NM… wrong thread.

Chris Hayes, no friend of conservatives, is tweeting that people will REALLY WANT to see the latest NBC poll, to be released in 12 minutes. What a tease! :wink:

Here it is, the latest NBC/WSJ poll:

NBC/WSJ poll
Clinton Trump (4-way)
46%-35%

Clinton Trump (2-way)
52%-38%

An 11-point lead in a 4-way race, a 14-point lead in the 2-way.