There are multiple Clinton and Sanders threads.
Yes; if posts were delegates, he’d have won the nomination three times over.
But they aren’t, fortunately.
That definitely deserves points for originality. The only part of it that makes sense to me is the group of candidates who are tied.
How could you possibly put Cruz anywhere other than the ass-end?
538 thinks Trump needs to win 58 out of 95 New York delegates. Sam Wang thinks Trump will secure 86 or more delegates in the Empire State. This could be the inflection point that pushes Trump over 1237, leading to wailing and gnashing of teeth among those hoping for a contested convention. New York, the bluest of all big states, could hand the GOP nomination to Trump.
Trump campaign’s powerful new ad.
The message from 1:00 to 1:52 shows us how Trump is going to boost his favorability rating. He will remind America of the massive assault from both established political parties, assisted by the lying crooks in the media.
And look who he chose to be the face of the effort: Carl Rove. The same guy that manipulated the public into a level of support for the Iraq War that was even higher than Trump’s unfavorables.
But he has such small hands!
Just watched the video too. Two horrible ideas:
[ol]
[li]Filming it in black and white (predominantly? or completely? I think the latter, but I don’t want to watch it again to corroborate[/li][li]Having Trump narrate it. How does he do that half screaming, half talking stuff? He’s terrible at it[/li][/ol]
There’s a newer blog entry concerning the path to 1237. In it, Nate says, concerning NY delegates:
[Quote=Nate Silver]
Revised Trump delegate projections: deterministic 85; probabilistic 83; path-to-1,237 91.
[/Quote]
The way I understand the article, the whole “revised” numbers thing points more to California being key than it does to NY.
As I have been saying, I keep noticing Drumpf’s simplistic speech style now. Yet I haven’t gotten to the point of actually *expecting *it. I guess I still think unconsciously, “here’s a rich businessman in a tailored suit, running for president–he’s going to use multisyllabic words”. So he caught me by surprise again today, when I heard a clip on NPR of him addressing a crowd in Staten Island. His sentence starts, “My father always said: ‘Staten Island: that’s…’” and my mind is sort of auto-filling possible conclusions to the description, like predictive text.
So what does he fondly remember his late father telling him about Staten Island? I’m thinking something vaguely stirring, in a corny way. Maybe something like “Staten Island: that’s the true heart of this city, where good, God-fearing working people live, the people who keep us safe–like cops, and firefighters. Never forget that, son.”
But no, the sentence turns out to be:
“My father always said, ‘Staten Island: that’s a great place.’”
Uhhh…cool story, bro? 
But a little advice: if that’s all you got, but you still want to pass it on, maybe don’t set it up as a quote. Instead of “My father always said: <direct verbatim quote>”, simply say “My father always said Staten Island was great.” (And maybe add a little flourish, like “…and he was right!” or “…and I see why!”.) You can still stick with your monosyllabic words but not make them such a letdown.
NPR does also report, it must be said, that some people do like the grade school vocabulary. They interviewed a Democrat from the Pittsburgh area* who noted approvingly that “Trump uses the words we in the middle class use”. And they interviewed a blue collar woman and her mother who said much the same. Um, okay…but is that really what you want in a president? Are these also the qualities you look for in airline pilots and brain surgeons? :dubious: I don’t understand this dumbfuck, anti-intellectual attitude at all. I mean, you think there’s all this stuff that needs fixing, but you’re going to look for a simpleton to do the job? 
:smack: Fair enough.
*ETA: These are undoubtedly the sort of people who give Snowboarder Bo such confidence that Drumpf will win in November; but I think they are swamped out by all the women and college-educated men who will abandon the GOP in droves.
I’ve heard quite a few arguments along those lines. That everybody knows the solutions, which are obvious common sense of course, but they’re either too crooked or too PC to actually do it. Whereas Trump doesn’t believe in all that wordy egghead nuance stuff that keeps things from getting done.
It’s about deflating his brand. What Trump really makes his money on is selling the Trump name. Oliver pointed out that he’d have a harder time doing it if his name were (still) “Drumpf”. Personally I think it’s a joke that needed to die pretty much immediately; it’s neither funny nor clever when repeated ad nauseum. And FTR I felt the same way about “Shrub” for Bush.
On another topic, I’m surprised no one’s mentioned Trump accidentally saying “7/11” instead of “9/11”. It’s on par with Obama’s “57 states” comment - a simple slip of the tongue in the midst of a busy and tiring campaign - but I’m enjoying imagining Rudy Giuliani sitting at home going “It should have been me! I wouldn’t have made that mistake!”.
And has the most money spent against, in negative campaign.
Sure, but that is the guy’s legal name, and has been his family’s legal name for generations. It’s impossible for the media not to use it to refer to him. Anybody else named “Trump” just has to suck it up that they’re going to be seeing their name in print a lot.
But calling Trump “Drumpf” is just a random gratuitous PR gag, and I think it’s unfair to people actually named “Drumpf”.
(Besides the fact that it was funny the first time, maybe the second, and for a long time now has been merely tedious. Like calling George W. Bush “Shrub”.)
Which I called him for a long time. I did finally tire of it, but it took literally years. 
And it’s not about being “funny”, not for me anyway. It’s just shorthand for an ongoing expression of disrespect and contempt. ::shrug::
Because Americans think German names are HIGH-larious. Tee hee tee hee. See, he’s supposed to be ashamed that his family had such a German sounding name! Tee hee! Tee hee! Not so impressive now, are you, Mr. Germanlastname! Tee hee!!!
Nah, this is silly. German names are among the most common in the U.S. It’s the particularities of this name, which has to be pretty rare as I’ve never encountered it before. It’s the way it sounds to American ears. As Oliver noted:
“It’s the sound produced when a morbidly obese pigeon flies into the window of a foreclosed Old Navy…It’s the sound of a bottle of store-brand root beer falling off the shelf in a gas station minimart.”
Dude, I grew up with a German name that you would find HYSTERICAL, with the way it sounds to American ears. Yes, I know. Tee hee.
ETA: And of course: “You have a stupid sounding name! Tee hee!” Changes name. “You changed your name! Tee hee!”