Trump's Republican primary campaign

They’re not objecting to protest itself, as you are. They’re objecting to the manner of protest.

I’m not reading this entire thread. Does Trump have it locked up?

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/republican_delegate_count.html

Trump needs 241. There are several winner take all states, including Indiana and California which Trump will probably win. Those 2 states alone provide 229, if Trump wins a majority of them in both states, he just needs 1 or 2 other states to win.

OK, you got me – I guess I don’t really think what I think.

Yes, it’s ogre at this point.

You’re so confident. What’s your final delegate count estimate?

Shrek wins!

I don’t know about Indiana, but California is most definitely NOT winner take all. The winner of each Congressional district gets three delegates and the overall winner of the state gets ten more.

Trump must think that not consulting fact checkers will not make any difference if he becomes president.

The note comes from Trump repeating that hoax again in California a few days ago, never mind that he was told by Politifact back in February that he had his pants on fire when he vomited it in Charleston, S.C.

Donald Trump as president would indeed be the best recruiting tool for ISIS/DAESH

I had to add this: if you think having a president with such a “politically incorrect” mouth (in reality that was not politically incorrect, it was just wrong and idiotic) is nothing to worry about, we just have to remember that during the Bush the lesser years it was a big blunder to use the word “crusade” in the context of hunting the perpetrators of 9/11 in Muslim nations.

http://www.nytimes.com/2004/10/17/magazine/faith-certainty-and-the-presidency-of-george-w-bush.html

Ari Fleisher is still around so I guess he will have to apologize a lot for Trump if he becomes president, at least if Trump was reasonable enough to put someone like Ari as a “damage control officer”…

Nah, Trump is bound to select a “no apologies” cad like him in a position like that. Not good and only conductive to causing more friction in explosive situations.

It just said winner take all on RCP, I’m not sure of the details. Polls in CA are showing Trump at about 50%, Cruz at 25% and Kasich at 17%. Shouldn’t those margins be enough for Trump to take pretty much all the delegates?

Pretty much.

I’ll add if those numbers hold I think the expert panel at 538 is gonna be embarrassed. They have Trump just getting over half the delegates. I mean there can be clumping of support but…

Rasmussen has been consistent on showing more support for the Republican candidate than what it ended up happening. Just good enough to reduce the advantage that Hillary still has in the aggregate, and she is still ahead.

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-general-election-trump-vs-clinton

But I will not be surprising to see the election become closer come November, (the MSM still has to squeeze that Trump orange dry) unfortunately for Trump it is also a matter of the electoral map and if a huge battleground state like Florida is more in favor of Clinton then it is almost over for the diseased Yak:

http://www.tampabay.com/blogs/the-buzz-florida-politics/florida-poll-hillary-clinton-easily-beats-ted-cruz-or-donald-trump/2275571

One should not also forget that recently Clinton showed going ahead of Trump in Utah and tied in freaking Arizona.

Out of the past 65 national polls, Clinton has led Trump is 63 of them. Sooner or later, you’re going to have an outlier poll but there’s no reason to get excited about it until you see other similar polls showing a trend.

Not really. There are 53 districts. The polls would need to show how they stand in each district.

I’ll revise my statement since the 63-out-of-65 was a number I saw today and I think refers to HuffPo’s aggregates but I’m not 100% sure. So, instead I’ll say that the last time Trump led a general election poll against Clinton was 28 polls ago on Feb 11th when a USA Today poll had him at +2. There was also a tie a couple days ago but that was another Rasmussen poll.

Point remains, there’s no trend showing here.

And Australian artist Illma Gore does an extremely unflattering portrait of Trump and gets punched in the face. She’s also been receiving death threats from supporters as well as threats of legal action from - guess who?

Assuming this doesn’t turn out to be a manufactured publicity stunt, I may keep this story in my back pocket for the next time someone declares that only Muslims get violent when faced with mocking images of their idols.