SNP HQ on BBC looks worried. The BBC is saying the Tories might make gains in Scotland and Wales and lose big in England.
Here’s a breakdown of the multi-broadcaster exit poll from the BBC
John Curtice (praise him) interprets the poll as having 76 seats too close to call.
I’m sad that there isn’t a British Macron who can inspire and galvanize those who feel let down by the two major political parties. Leadership is needed for the modern forward-thinkers, and to represent the younger, educated, urban, pro-EU voter base, who have no obvious and inspiring party right now. Tim Farron is no Macron. I’m really missing Nick Clegg right now, to be honest.
It would be great if the LibDems went into coalition with Labour on the condition that there would be a second referendum. That would be the ideal solution, short of the complete rejection of Brexit, of course.
I think you’re spot on. I can just imagine a coup in the Tory party and another election in September or October correcting the mistakes made in the manifesto.
If the exit poll turns out to be true this is a disaster for both May and Sturgeon. But it’s only a poll, and we know all too well how wrong polls can be.
Just to throw it out there, how about a Tory-Labour coalition to keep out the SNP? The Lib Dems, being the party of Remain are not going to ally with the party of Leave. Corbyn was a Leaver really, as are many Labour MPs, so a coalition to get the best deal on Brexit seems possible.
I thought that they would lose some seats, after all the only way was down for them. But 22 :dubious:
A hung parliament is probably the worst result May could’ve gotten. She pissed way the Tories’ first majority since the mid-90s and walks away without the mandate she wanted. At least if she’d lost outright negotiating Brexit would be Labour’s problem.
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This is deja vu from every election thread ever, but it’s a bit less than 326 in practice. The Speaker and Sinn Fein etc
Quartz, c’mon.
Agreed, unless Sinn Fein take their - presumed - seats: 323 is the majority number
If it comes down to it, given Brexit and the consequences for the GFA, and the possibility of a hard border with the Republic, I do wonder if the Sinn Fein MPs might not consider taking their seats.
I thought 628 total seemed too low for the entire Commons. I guess you’d have to be a whip master to hold together 328 or so on anything controversial.
Politics is the art of the possible.
And they’re power-hungry greedy bastards, aren’t they?
I don’t think we are at a National Government level crisis.
Early actual results are more in favour of the Tories so let’s all not start blowing each other yet 
Yes, but were those Leave areas? sacrifices another chicken
We will see. anyway, let me throw something else out there: the Prime Minister is the MP who can command a majority in the House of Commons. Step forward Tim Farron cobbling together a cross-party coalition of Remain MPs.
Labour gets the first two to declare.
UKIP vote down heavily in those two, going to Labour and Conservative, maybe a wider trend?
UKIP are done. Let’s hope forever.
The BBC is predicting that when it is all over it will look like this:
Conservatives: 314 (-17)
Labour: 266 (+34)
Liberal Democrats: 14 (+6)
Scottish National Party: 34 (-22)
(click link for details on the few others…good riddance UKIP)
A question: what is the margin of error of this exit poll?