United States and Israel are bombing Iran {for current/ongoing events, past/future have specific threads}

Curiously, Brent Oil prices continue to go down, one would expect if the Strait is blocked again they would be going up.
Lag? Assumption that this new closing will be resolved shortly?

Impossible to know, but I would assume that the markets are fully pricing in TACO at this point. If Trump backed down yesterday because he was scared of the effects on markets he will certainly do so again.

Sánchez to Trump: Spain won’t applaud those who set the world on fire

Prime Minister of Spain Pedro Sanchez, when asked about Trump’s cease-fire: “Spain won’t applaud those who set the world on fire just because they then show up with a bucket.”

Plus aren’t they going to make massive amounts of money on the tolls?

I would exchange my president for Pedro Sanchez in a heartbeat.
Which is not so impressive considering that I would exchange my president for the lowest ranked leader in the Civilization I scoreboard (Dan Quayle) without thinking too much about it, unfortunately.

I thought Gandhi in that game was almost as bad as Trump. (Almost.)

Yes, I know it’s a meme-level urban legend which appears to be entirely spurious. Let’s just go with it anyway.

That bastard!

Is this being reported in the US as a massive humiliation for Trump as it is here in the UK?

Iran may have endured enormous losses but politically they are more powerful than ever. And the new Ayatollah is even more radical than the last one.

For Israel I think it’s even worse. They’ve been trying for decades to convince the US to attack Iran. They should have been more careful with what they wished for. I cannot see Israel maintaining a ceasefire; a continuation of the Iranian revolution is not something they will ever tolerate. But now they risk angering their most powerful partner, and the relationship with the US is only going to become more difficult as a result, seeing how unpopular and damaging it has been.

ISTM the war is a total disaster for basically everyone but the IRGC, which has cemented control of the country, raised its popularity among its people, and is now in control of the Strait of Hormuz.

Maybe don’t start a war with idiots in charge, no mission, no strategy, and no plan?

BuT wE hAd tO Do sOmEThInG!!

They were coming right for us!

I heard a lot of criticism on NPR earlier, but that isn’t surprising. Bloomberg Radio has had at least two guests today who have been really critical of the lack of anything to show for the effort, and IMO Bloomberg tries really hard to be as centerline as they can. To the point of “opposing teen alcoholism in all it’s forms”

You were in fear for your life!

Israel’s basic problem was that an American president sufficiently impulsive to join in on an attack against Iran (to wit, Trump) was also going to be so impulsive as to take whatever exit ramp presented itself when things started going badly (also Trump).

According to this Fox News headline, not at all.

It was an actual issue caused by effectively subtraction of “aggression” stat from very low to stupidly high.

Anyway, listening to a couple pundits earlier (not sure who) and the best spin they could come up with is “They finally stopped digging. At least for a while.”

Was musing over the 10-point Plan which I’d agree is an Iranian opening gambit, but still 45/47 has described it as “workable”.

Take the USD2mil toll for passing through Hormuz, say $2/barrel for the argument.
Let’s say the Iranians up the deal to being USD4mil toll but of that toll USD1mil goes directly to Trumps Board of Peace and USD1mil goes to some Mar a Largo based slush fund, with the condition that 45/47 gets Israel to stop reducing their ordnance inventories against their neighboring territories.

Might that sweeten the deal sufficiently?

BTW, from that article, UK is one of them “praising” Trump. Of course, the only mention is that the UK is in support of the ceasefire. I don’t call that “praising”. Also, on that page I can’t actually see where they are getting their info. Fox News is garbage!

Fox News had to pay over 700 million to Dominion Voting Systems, because it was clear and obvious that Fox had knowingly lied and lied and lied to its viewers, and had caused harm to Dominion.

So yes. They are lying liars who are lying about this.

But, MAGA is seeing that Uk and other countries are praising Trump. We know it is not true, but this is how one side lives in a complete bubble.