As vaccines roll out, I guess the number of refusers is going to become a pretty hot topic; so I started this thread as a place to log data on (and consequences of) refusal.
As of today I could find no live data describing how many people are refusing vaccination. I did however find a few interesting survey based publications.
Approximately a fifth of people across the world would refuse a COVID-19 vaccine (article based on the the last-linked paper below)
The paper states:
Vaccine hesitancy might be another important factor. The result of our meta-analysis (which includes 30 papers) found that 68.4% (95% confidence interval 64.2% to 72.6%) of the [global] population is willing to receive covid-19 vaccination
The raw data, which is presented by country, is actually in supplementary table S1 - see Page 57 of this PDF.
Finally (for now), the paper which the first linked article is referencing:
International estimates of intended uptake and refusal of COVID-19 vaccines: A rapid systematic review and meta-analysis of large nationally representative samples (pre-publication, not yet peer reviewed)
This is the most comprehensive and accessible of the publications - see figures S1 - S3, which report intentions by country over time.
Twenty-eight nationally representative samples (n = 58,656) from 13 countries indicate that as the pandemic has progressed, the percentage of people intending to vaccinate and refuse vaccination have been decreasing and increasing respectively. Pooled data from surveys conducted during June-October suggest that 60% (95% CI: 49% to 69%) intend to vaccinate and 20% (95% CI: 13% to 29%) intend to refuse vaccination, although intentions vary substantially between samples and countries (I2 > 90%). Being female, younger, of lower income or education level and belonging to an ethnic minority group were consistently associated with being less likely to intend to vaccinate.
Please feel free to add any data you find (or personal experience, for that matter). BUT I don’t intend this thread to be a forum for debating personal views on vaccination/refusal.